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Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer · THU 15 OCT · Dick's Sporting Goods Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Colorado Rapids win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Colorado Rapids was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–24–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Colorado Rapids
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Darren Yapi · Colorado Rapids
- 21′7.0 shots for Colorado Rapids, 1.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 41–28–31
- 32′Colorado Rapids have had 8.0 attempts to 1.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 39–31–30
- 45′We published Colorado Rapids at 43%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–20–8
- 45′Colorado Rapids ahead on 45′ through Darren Yapi. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–20–8
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Colorado Rapids 1–0 Minnesota United FC
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Colorado Rapids 1–0 Minnesota United FC
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
- 51′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 34–40–27
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Colorado Rapids 1–1 Minnesota United FC
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 34% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Colorado Rapids win 34%)
- 52′Kelvin Yeboah scores for Minnesota United FC on 52′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–41–26
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 57′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–44–25
- 60′Colorado Rapids have had 12.0 attempts to 5.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 30–46–24
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Colorado Rapids · On: Joshua Atencio · Off: Paxten Aaronson
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Colorado Rapids · On: Sayed Abu Farkhi · Off: Keegan Rosenberry
- 62′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–48–23
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Minnesota United FC · On: Mauricio González Carabalí · Off: Marcus Caldeira
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Sayed Abu Farkhi · Colorado Rapids
- 68′🟥 RED CARD · 68' Colorado Rapids
- 69′A red card for Colorado Rapids on 69′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 24–56–20
- 69′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Sayed Abu Farkhi · Colorado Rapids
- 70′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–57–19
- 70′🟥 RED CARD · 68' Sayed Abu Farkhi · Colorado Rapids
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Colorado Rapids · On: Georgi Minoungou · Off: Darren Yapi
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Colorado Rapids · On: Ibrahim Sadiq · Off: Morgan Whittaker
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Colorado Rapids · On: Kosi Thompson · Off: Donavan Phillip
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Colorado Rapids 2–1 Minnesota United FC · Darren Yapi
- 74′We published Colorado Rapids at 43%. Our model now makes it 83%. 2–1 · 83–15–2
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Colorado Rapids win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
- 75′74′ and it is 2–1: Georgi Minoungou on the scoresheet for Colorado Rapids. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 76′We published Colorado Rapids at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Miguel Navarro · Colorado Rapids
- 82′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–78–10
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Minnesota United FC · On: Nectarios Triantis · Off: Wil Trapp
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Minnesota United FC · On: Aziel Jackson · Off: Tomás Chancalay
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Colorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FC · Kelvin Yeboah
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Minnesota United FC · On: Joaquín Pereyra · Off: Bongokuhle Hlongwane
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Colorado Rapids win 12%)
- 85′Minnesota United FC level it on 83′ through Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés. 2–2. 2–2 · 9–84–7
- 87′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–87–6
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Owen Gene · Minnesota United FC
- 89′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 6–89–5
- 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Minnesota United FC
- 91′We said Colorado Rapids at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 93' Colorado Rapids win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- 95′SUBSTITUTION · 95' Minnesota United FC · On: Nicolás Romero · Off: Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 94' Minnesota United FC · On: Nicolás Romero · Off: Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
- FTFULL TIME Colorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FC
- FTColorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FC · Colorado Rapids win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassColorado Rapids are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Colorado Rapids 43%, draw 25%, Minnesota United FC 32%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 02:00 · locked at kick-off
Colorado Rapids win43%
Minnesota United FC win32%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 02:30
VenueDick's Sporting Goods Park
RefereeVictor Rivas
Match timeline
All events
Colorado RapidsMIN
Minnesota United FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
Line-ups
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3
41 N. Defreitas
2 K. Rosenberry
6 R. Holding
5 Loïc Williams
29 M. Navarro
13 W. Frederick II
8 H. Ojediran
10 P. Aaronson
7 M. Whittaker
32 D. Phillip
77 D. Yapi
Coach · Matt Wells
Substitutes
12 · J. Atencio
31 · A. Beaudry
24 · N. Cobb
16 · A. Harris
93 · G. Minoungou
11 · I. Sadiq
33 · K. Thompson
99 · J. Travis
9 · S. Abu
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2
12 D. Callender
52 Cherrion Valerius
28 J. Díaz
15 M. Boxall
23 M. Duggan
21 B. Hlongwane
30 O. Gene
20 W. Trapp
8 T. Chancalay
9 K. Yeboah
22 Marcus Caldeira
Coach · C. Knowles
Substitutes
25 · N. Triantis
27 · D. Taylor
5 · N. Romero
94 · Kayne Rizvanovich
26 · J. Pereyra
11 · M. Malone
16 · A. Jackson
18 · M. Gonzalez
3 · K. Duncan
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3
41 N. Defreitas
2 K. Rosenberry
6 R. Holding
5 Loïc Williams
29 M. Navarro
13 W. Frederick II
8 H. Ojediran
10 P. Aaronson
7 M. Whittaker
32 D. Phillip
77 D. Yapi
Coach · Matt Wells
Substitutes
12 · J. Atencio
31 · A. Beaudry
24 · N. Cobb
16 · A. Harris
93 · G. Minoungou
11 · I. Sadiq
33 · K. Thompson
99 · J. Travis
9 · S. Abu
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2
12 D. Callender
52 Cherrion Valerius
28 J. Díaz
15 M. Boxall
23 M. Duggan
21 B. Hlongwane
30 O. Gene
20 W. Trapp
8 T. Chancalay
9 K. Yeboah
22 Marcus Caldeira
Coach · C. Knowles
Substitutes
25 · N. Triantis
27 · D. Taylor
5 · N. Romero
94 · Kayne Rizvanovich
26 · J. Pereyra
11 · M. Malone
16 · A. Jackson
18 · M. Gonzalez
3 · K. Duncan
We make Colorado Rapids a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 46% to 52% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 43% | 52% | −9 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Minnesota United FC win | 32% | 23% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| Colorado Rapids or draw | 68% | 77% | −8 |
| Colorado Rapids clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Minnesota United FC clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Major League Soccer
COLORADO RAPIDS
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -33 | 22 |
The competition's standings.
Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Austin
Sporting Kansas City