Oriental v Uruguay Montevideo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oriental win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Oriental 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Oriental v Uruguay Montevideo
4. 18′Uruguay Montevideo find the net on 18′. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–25–56
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Oriental 0–1 Uruguay Montevideo
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Uruguay Montevideo win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Oriental win 19%)
8. 19′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
9. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 15–25–59
11. 33′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
12. 36′A goal for Oriental on 36′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 39–37–24
13. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Oriental 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo
14. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 39% now
15. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Uruguay Montevideo win 23%)
16. 45′HALF-TIME Oriental 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo
17. 46′SECOND HALF Oriental 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo
18. 47′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–22
19. 49′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
20. 60′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
21. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
22. 68′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
23. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
24. 85′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–87–5
25. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Oriental win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
26. 90′We said Oriental at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
27. FTFULL TIME Oriental 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo
28. FTOriental 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo · Oriental win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.