Progreso v Juventud

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Juventud win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Juventud 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Progreso v Juventud
4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Progreso
5. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Juventud win 34%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Progreso 0–0 Juventud
7. 45′SECOND HALF Progreso 0–0 Juventud
8. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Juventud win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
9. 50′Little has changed for our model: Juventud 42% before kick-off, 32% now. 0–0 · 25–44–32
10. 53′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 24–45–30
11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 23–47–30
12. 56′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–48–29
13. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Progreso · On: Matteo copelotti · Off: Maximiliano Juambeltz
14. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Progreso · On: gary silva · Off: Ramiro Cristóbal
15. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Ayrton Cougo · Progreso
16. 66′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–57–24
17. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Juventud · On: facundo dominguez · Off: Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
18. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Juventud · On: Gastón Pereiro · Off: Bruno Larregui
19. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Juventud win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
20. 71′8 shots for Juventud, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 17–63–21
21. 73′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
22. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Progreso · On: Gastón Silva · Off: Emiliano Alvarez
23. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Progreso · On: Facundo De Leon · Off: Ayrton Cougo
24. 79′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
25. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Juventud · On: bruno arady · Off: Mirko Diaz
26. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Juventud · On: Emanuel Cecchini · Off: Rodrigo Sebastian·Chagas Diaz
27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Juventud win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
28. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Progreso
29. 83′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
30. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Juventud · On: facundo perez · Off: Ramiro Miguel Peralta
31. 87′We said Juventud at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
32. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Progreso 1–0 Juventud
33. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Juventud win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
34. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Progreso win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
35. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 81' gary silva · Progreso
36. 94′87′: gary silva on the scoresheet for Progreso, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 98–1–0
37. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Progreso · On: Agustin Codagnone · Off: Agustín Ocampo
38. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Progreso 2–0 Juventud
39. 96′2–0 at the end. Our 42% on Juventud misses, and the record keeps it. 2–0 · 100–0–0
40. FTFULL TIME Progreso 2–0 Juventud
41. FTProgreso 2–0 Juventud · Juventud win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.