Danubio v Central Espanol

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Danubio win at 40%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Danubio v Central Espanol
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Danubio 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–30–30
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Danubio
5. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Danubio win 34%)
6. 40′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Danubio · On: Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa · Off: Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+6' Marcos Montiel · Central Espanol
8. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
9. 46′SECOND HALF Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol
10. 51′We said Danubio at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–49–23
11. 52′We said Danubio at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–18–4
12. 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 77–18–4
13. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol
14. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 77% now
15. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Danubio win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 18%)
16. 53′Danubio find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–18–4
17. 53′HALF-TIME Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol
18. 59′We said Danubio at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
19. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
20. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Central Espanol
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Danubio · On: D. Garcia · Off: mateo rinaldi
22. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Danubio · On: Diego piriz · Off: Sebastián Fernández
23. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Danubio · On: J. Millán · Off: Sebastián Rodriguez
24. 70′We said Danubio at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
25. 71′We said Danubio at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–67–15
26. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Danubio 1–1 Central Espanol
27. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 18% now
28. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Danubio win 18%)
29. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Central Espanol · On: santiago sequeira · Off: Marcos Montiel
30. 73′71′: raul tarragona on the scoresheet for Central Espanol. 1–0 · 86–13–1
31. 74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' Central Espanol
32. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 87% now
33. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Danubio win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
34. 79′We said Danubio at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Danubio win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
36. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Danubio · On: Bautista Pereira · Off: Enzo Cabrera
37. 85′We said Danubio at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
38. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Central Espanol · On: Francisco Montoro · Off: Mariano Aguilera
39. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Central Espanol · On: facundo sosa · Off: Fernando Camarda
40. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' J. Millán · Danubio
41. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' santiago sequeira · Central Espanol
42. 95′1–0 at the end. Our 40% on Danubio comes in. 1–0 · 100–0–0
43. FTFULL TIME Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol
44. FTDanubio 1–0 Central Espanol · Danubio win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.