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Albion FC v Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico TorquePrimera División · SUN 18 OCT · Estadio Luis Franzini
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico Torque win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Atletico Torque was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Albion FC v Atletico Torque
- 28′Atletico Torque have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 34–31–35
- 37′We published Atletico Torque at 38%. Our model now makes it 68%. 0–1 · 11–22–68
- 37′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 11–22–68
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Albion FC 0–1 Atletico Torque
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Atletico Torque win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
- 38′Atletico Torque score on 37′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–22–68
- 38′Atletico Torque score on 38′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–22–68
- 45′SECOND HALF Albion FC 0–1 Atletico Torque
- 46′We published Atletico Torque at 38%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 9–22–70
- 46′HALF-TIME Albion FC 0–1 Atletico Torque
- 53′Atletico Torque have had 14 attempts to 3 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 28–43–29
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Albion FC 1–1 Atletico Torque
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Atletico Torque win: 38% at kick-off, 29% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Atletico Torque win 29%)
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Atletico Torque win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 57′Albion FC level it on 54′ through Carlos Airala. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–45–28
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Albion FC · On: Tobías Figueroa · Off: Alvaro Lopez
- 60′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–48–26
- 64′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–24
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Atletico Torque · On: Gonzalo Montes · Off: Pablo Siles
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Atletico Torque · On: Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero · Off: Franco Pizzichillo
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Albion FC · On: Agustin·Vera · Off: Carlos Airala
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Albion FC · On: Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández · Off: Hernán Toledo
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Atletico Torque
- 73′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Atletico Torque win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 78′Atletico Torque have had 16 attempts to 9 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 14–71–15
- 79′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Atletico Torque · On: ramiro lecchini · Off: Luka Andrade
- 84′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–83–8
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Atletico Torque win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Atletico Torque
- 90′We said Atletico Torque at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–91–4
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Atletico Torque
- 93′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 98–2–0
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Albion FC 2–1 Atletico Torque
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Albion FC win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 96′🟥 RED CARD · 90+6' Atletico Torque
- 97′Full time, 2–1. We called Atletico Torque at 38% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 97′Tobías Figueroa scores for Albion FC on 90′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 97′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Atletico Torque · On: Facundo Silvera · Off: S. Zampieri
- 97′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Atletico Torque · On: ezequiel busquets · Off: Eduardo Gabriel·Aguero Ruiz
- 97′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Albion FC · On: Santiago Nicolas·Costa · Off: Francisco Ginella
- 97′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Albion FC · On: roman corletto gutierrez · Off: José Álvarez
- FTFULL TIME Albion FC 2–1 Atletico Torque
- FTAlbion FC 2–1 Atletico Torque · Atletico Torque win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Atletico Torque just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Albion FC 37%, draw 25%, Atletico Torque 38%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Albion FC win37%
Atletico Torque win38%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundClausura · matchday 11
VenueEstadio Luis Franzini
RefereeHernan Heras
Match timeline
All events
Albion FCMIN
Atletico TorqueEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Albion FC
4-2-3-1
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Last match: 15 Oct · Copa Uruguay
Last match: 14 Oct · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Albion FC
4-2-3-1
1 S. Jaume
2 F. Couture
13 P. Lacoste
24 M. de los Santos
29 F. Puente
6 T. Moschión
5 F. Ginella
11 H. Toledo
10 C. Airala
16 J. Álvarez
9 Á. López
Coach · D. Franco
Substitutes
30 · B. Barcia
27 · S. Costa
32 · T. Figueroa
20 · R. Gutiérrez
80 · B. Llana
17 · M. Marichal
8 · I. Neira
21 · L. Rodríguez
31 · S. Silva
22 · A. Vera
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
1 F. Torgnascioli
17 E. Agüero
3 K. Silva
24 G. Kagelmacher
14 S. Zampiero
5 F. Pizzichillo
8 P. Siles
19 D. Guzmán
7 Luka Andrade
9 S. Rodríguez
10 E. Obregón
Coach · Marcelo Méndez
Substitutes
27 · J. Tarán
26 · F. Silvera
13 · G. Rodríguez
30 · J. Quintana
20 · G. Montes
18 · R. Lecchini
22 · B. Gutierrez
11 · N. da Silva
32 · S. Cáceres
15 · E. Busquets
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Albion FC
4-2-3-1
1 S. Jaume
2 F. Couture
13 P. Lacoste
24 M. de los Santos
29 F. Puente
6 T. Moschión
5 F. Ginella
11 H. Toledo
10 C. Airala
16 J. Álvarez
9 Á. López
Coach · D. Franco
Substitutes
30 · B. Barcia
27 · S. Costa
32 · T. Figueroa
20 · R. Gutiérrez
80 · B. Llana
17 · M. Marichal
8 · I. Neira
21 · L. Rodríguez
31 · S. Silva
22 · A. Vera
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
1 F. Torgnascioli
17 E. Agüero
3 K. Silva
24 G. Kagelmacher
14 S. Zampiero
5 F. Pizzichillo
8 P. Siles
19 D. Guzmán
7 Luka Andrade
9 S. Rodríguez
10 E. Obregón
Coach · Marcelo Méndez
Substitutes
27 · J. Tarán
26 · F. Silvera
13 · G. Rodríguez
30 · J. Quintana
20 · G. Montes
18 · R. Lecchini
22 · B. Gutierrez
11 · N. da Silva
32 · S. Cáceres
15 · E. Busquets
We make Atletico Torque a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albion FC win | 37% | 28% | +9 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Atletico Torque win | 38% | 44% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 48% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 53% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 72% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 27% | +5 |
| Albion FC or draw | 62% | 56% | +6 |
| Albion FC clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Atletico Torque clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 7 Sept
ALBION FC
ATLETICO TORQUE
The table
2026 · Annual table| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 32 | +25 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 32 | +16 | 57 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 33 | +12 | 56 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 32 | +10 | 55 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 32 | +12 | 50 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 33 | −1 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Juventud | 33 | −4 | 40 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 32 | −11 | 38 |
| 11 | Boston River | 33 | −10 | 37 |
| 12 | Cerro | 33 | −21 | 37 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 33 | −10 | 35 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 33 | −8 | 34 |
| 15 | Progreso | 33 | −17 | 32 |
| 16 | Danubio | 32 | −15 | 29 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Central Espanol
Boston River
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Danubio