Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba prediction · Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDrawAl-Ittihad Kalba

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:35

Before kick-off · Match result · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 70%, draw 17%, Al-Ittihad Kalba 13%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad KalbaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win70%

Draw17%

Al-Ittihad Kalba win13%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:35

RoundMatchday 7

VenueAl Rashid Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Al-Ittihad Kalba

8Days since last match8

Last match: 22 Oct · Presidents Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	+7	13
11	Al-Ittihad Kalba	6	−7	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shabab al ahli dubai winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Shabab Al Ahli Dubai a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba~~2.39 – 0.91

~~Form · Pro League this season · since 14 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 5~~2 v 11

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win	70%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Al-Ittihad Kalba win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw	87%	–	–
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai clean sheet	40%	–	–
Al-Ittihad Kalba clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.5%

0123450 3.7 3.5 1 8.9 7.9 3.6 2 10.5 9.5 4.3 3 8.4 7.6 3.4 4 5.0 4.5 2.1 5 2.4 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Shabab Al Ahli Dubai down, Al-Ittihad Kalba across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 952 Pro League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Al-Ittihad Kalba away: 1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.39 goals for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 0.91 for Al-Ittihad Kalba. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SHA 5–1 ALI · ALI 0–0 SHA · ALI 1–2 SHA · SHA 0–0 ALI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Pro League this season · since 14 Aug

SHABAB AL AHLI DUBAI

WWWLDW5–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

AL-ITTIHAD KALBA

DLLLWD2–2 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Jazira	6	+9	14
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	+7	13
3	Al-Wasl FC	6	+11	13
4	Al Ain	6	+5	13
5	Al Wahda FC	6	+2	12
6	Sharjah FC	6	+5	12
7	Ajman	6	−3	9
8	Al Nasr	6	+1	8
9	Dubai United	6	−5	7
10	Al-Dhafra	6	−2	6
11	Al-Ittihad Kalba	6	−7	5
12	Khorfakkan	6	−8	4
13	Hatta SC	6	−8	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	−7	1