Dubai United v Khorfakkan prediction · Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dubai UnitedDrawKhorfakkan

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:55

Before kick-off · Match result · Dubai United 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Dubai United just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Dubai United 41%, draw 20%, Khorfakkan 39%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Dubai United v KhorfakkanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Dubai United win41%

Draw20%

Khorfakkan win39%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:55

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dubai United

Khorfakkan

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Presidents Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Dubai United	6	−5	7
12	Khorfakkan	6	−8	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dubai united winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Dubai United a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dubai United v Khorfakkan~~2.01 – 1.96

~~Form · Pro League this season · since 15 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 4~~9 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dubai United win	41%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Khorfakkan win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Dubai United or draw	61%	–	–
Dubai United clean sheet	15%	–	–
Khorfakkan clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.3%

0123450 3.9 3.7 2.4 1 4.0 7.3 7.1 4.6 2.3 2 3.9 7.3 7.0 4.5 2.3 3 2.6 4.9 4.7 3.0 4 2.5 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dubai United down, Khorfakkan across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 952 Pro League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Dubai United at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Khorfakkan away: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Dubai United, 1.96 for Khorfakkan. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Pro League this season · since 15 Aug

DUBAI UNITED

LWWLDL1–5 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 3–4 · 1–1 · 1–5

KHORFAKKAN

LLWLDL1–5 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–5 · 0–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Jazira	6	+9	14
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	+7	13
3	Al-Wasl FC	6	+11	13
4	Al Ain	6	+5	13
5	Al Wahda FC	6	+2	12
6	Sharjah FC	6	+5	12
7	Ajman	6	−3	9
8	Al Nasr	6	+1	8
9	Dubai United	6	−5	7
10	Al-Dhafra	6	−2	6
11	Al-Ittihad Kalba	6	−7	5
12	Khorfakkan	6	−8	4
13	Hatta SC	6	−8	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	−7	1