Al-Wasl FC v Al-Dhafra prediction · Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al-Wasl FCDrawAl-Dhafra

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:55

Before kick-off · Match result · Al-Wasl FC 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al-Wasl FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Wasl FC 69%, draw 17%, Al-Dhafra 13%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Al-Wasl FC v Al-DhafraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Al-Wasl FC win69%

Draw17%

Al-Dhafra win13%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:55

RoundMatchday 7

VenueZabeel Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Wasl FC

Al-Dhafra

8Days since last match6

Last match: 22 Oct · Presidents Cup

Last match: 24 Oct · Presidents Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Al-Wasl FC	6	+11	13
10	Al-Dhafra	6	−2	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-wasl fc winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Al-Wasl FC a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al-Wasl FC v Al-Dhafra~~2.38 – 0.93

~~Form · Pro League this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 13 v 6~~3 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al-Wasl FC win	69%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Al-Dhafra win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Al-Wasl FC or draw	87%	–	–
Al-Wasl FC clean sheet	40%	–	–
Al-Dhafra clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.3%

0123450 3.6 3.5 1 8.8 8.0 3.8 2 10.3 9.5 4.4 3 8.2 7.5 3.5 4 4.9 4.5 2.1 5 2.4 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Wasl FC down, Al-Dhafra across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 952 Pro League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al-Wasl FC at home: 3.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Al-Dhafra away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Al-Wasl FC, 0.93 for Al-Dhafra. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~ALW 3–0 ALD · ALW 4–2 ALD · ALD 1–5 ALW · ALD 3–1 ALW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Pro League this season · since 15 Aug

AL-WASL FC

WWLWDW5–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 5–2 · 2–2 · 2–0

AL-DHAFRA

LLLLWW1–3 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Jazira	6	+9	14
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	+7	13
3	Al-Wasl FC	6	+11	13
4	Al Ain	6	+5	13
5	Al Wahda FC	6	+2	12
6	Sharjah FC	6	+5	12
7	Ajman	6	−3	9
8	Al Nasr	6	+1	8
9	Dubai United	6	−5	7
10	Al-Dhafra	6	−2	6
11	Al-Ittihad Kalba	6	−7	5
12	Khorfakkan	6	−8	4
13	Hatta SC	6	−8	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	−7	1