Al-Ittihad Kalba v Al-Jazira

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Jazira win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Jazira 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 26–22–51
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Ittihad Kalba v Al-Jazira
4. 3′Al-Ittihad Kalba score on 2′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 49–23–28
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–0 Al-Jazira
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 28% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Al-Ittihad Kalba win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Al-Jazira win 28%)
8. 4′GOAL DISALLOWED · 4' Al-Ittihad Kalba
9. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 51% now
10. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Al-Jazira win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Al-Ittihad Kalba win 26%)
11. 5′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–0 · 49–23–28
12. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–0 Al-Jazira · Benjamin Tetteh
13. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 28% now
14. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Al-Ittihad Kalba win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Al-Jazira win 28%)
15. 9′8′: Guilherme Sucigan Mafra Cunha on the scoresheet for Al-Ittihad Kalba. 1–0 · 50–23–27
16. 10′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–0 · 73–15–11
17. 10′⚽ GOAL · 8' Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–0 Al-Jazira · Guilherme Sucigan Mafra Cunha
18. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 11% now
19. 20′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–0 · 76–14–9
20. 24′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–1 · 53–25–23
21. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–1 Al-Jazira
22. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 23% now
23. 27′Malcom scores for Al-Jazira on 26′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 54–25–22
24. 27′Malcom scores for Al-Jazira on 22′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 54–25–22
25. 30′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Antônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto · Off: Caio Eduardo
26. 34′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 55–25–19
27. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–1 Al-Jazira
28. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Jazira · On: Igor Eduardo Schlemper · Off: Malcom Corrected
29. 45′SECOND HALF Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–1 Al-Jazira
30. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Jazira · On: Igor Eduardo Schlemper · Off: Ruben Amaral
31. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
32. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Marwan Fahad Hamza · Off: Guilherme Sucigan Mafra Cunha
33. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Khalid Ali Aldarmaki · Off: Saile Souza
34. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Ahmad Nourollahi · Off: Juninho
35. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Bader Abaelaziz · Off: Saman Ghoddos
36. 72′We said Al-Jazira at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
37. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Ibrahim Cissé · Al-Ittihad Kalba
38. 75′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 2–1 · 78–19–3
39. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
40. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Jazira · On: Abdallah Ramadan · Off: Kristjan Asllani
41. 82′81′: Vinicius Mello on the scoresheet for Al-Jazira. 2–1 · 86–13–1
42. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Vinicius Mello · Al-Jazira
43. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–82–11
44. 84′⚽ GOAL · 81' Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–2 Al-Jazira · Vinicius Mello (assist Mamadou Coulibaly)
45. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 11% now
46. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Al-Ittihad Kalba win 7%)
47. 90′2–2 at the end. Our 52% on Al-Jazira misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
48. 91′Al-Jazira have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 3–92–5
49. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Benjamin Tetteh · Al-Ittihad Kalba
50. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Jazira · On: Ali Al-Memari · Off: Mamadou Coulibaly
51. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Al-Jazira · On: Nermin Mujkić · Off: Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni
52. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Al-Jazira win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
53. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Antônio Fialho de Carvalho Neto · Al-Ittihad Kalba
54. 99′🟨 YELLOW · 90+7' Sultan Al-Mantheri · Al-Ittihad Kalba
55. FTFULL TIME Al-Ittihad Kalba 2–2 Al-Jazira
56. FTAl-Ittihad Kalba 2–2 Al-Jazira · Al-Jazira win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.