Al-Wasl FC v Al-Ittihad Kalba

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Wasl FC win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Wasl FC 63% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–20–18
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Wasl FC v Al-Ittihad Kalba
4. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
5. 40′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 0–0 · 51–31–18
6. 44′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–33–18
7. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Wasl FC 1–0 Al-Ittihad Kalba
8. 45′SECOND HALF Al-Wasl FC 1–0 Al-Ittihad Kalba
9. 51′A goal for Al-Wasl FC on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–3
10. 51′⚽ GOAL · 45+6' Al-Wasl FC 1–0 Al-Ittihad Kalba
11. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 83% now
12. 52′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–14–3
13. 53′Al-Ittihad Kalba find the net on 52′. 1–0 · 83–14–3
14. 54′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
15. 54′⚽ GOAL · 52' Al-Wasl FC 1–1 Al-Ittihad Kalba
16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 44% now
17. 55′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 44–39–17
18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
19. 62′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–45–16
20. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Al-Ittihad Kalba
21. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Al-Wasl FC win 42%)
22. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Al-Wasl FC · On: R. Popoola · Off: R. Tapia Corrected
23. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Al-Wasl FC
24. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al-Wasl FC · On: F. Lima · Off: Leandro Spadacio
25. 68′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–52–14
26. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: M. Fahad · Off: Juninho
27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Neto · Off: A. Nourollahi
28. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
29. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Y. Al Blooshi · Off: Carlos Alberto
30. 73′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–12
31. 77′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–66–11
32. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 22% now
33. 80′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–9
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al-Wasl FC · On: Adryelson · Off: S. Ivkovic
35. 83′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–7
36. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Adyson · Off: S. Ghoddos
38. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Al-Ittihad Kalba
39. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Al-Ittihad Kalba · On: Y. Al Mheiri · Off: B. Abaelaziz
40. 88′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
41. 93′We said Al-Wasl FC at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–2
42. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Al-Wasl FC win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
43. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 105' Renato Junior · Al-Wasl FC
44. 94′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 47%. 1–1 · 37–47–15
45. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Al-Wasl FC · On: Renato Junior · Off: N. Gimenez
46. 96′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 50%. 1–1 · 36–50–15
47. 102′Al-Ittihad Kalba find the net on 101′. 1–2. 1–2 · 6–24–70
48. 102′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Al-Ittihad Kalba likeliest at 70%. 1–2 · 6–24–70
49. 102′⚽ GOAL · 101' Al-Wasl FC 1–2 Al-Ittihad Kalba
50. 111′A goal for Al-Wasl FC on 111′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 18–74–8
51. 111′⚽ GOAL · 111' Al-Wasl FC 2–2 Al-Ittihad Kalba
52. 112′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 16–77–7
53. 113′🟨 YELLOW · 113' Al-Wasl FC
54. 118′🟨 YELLOW · 112' S. Bouftini · Al-Wasl FC
55. 119′🟨 YELLOW · 107' B. Palacios Alzate · Al-Wasl FC
56. 119′🟨 YELLOW · 108' F. Lima · Al-Wasl FC
57. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
58. FTFULL TIME Al-Wasl FC 2–2 Al-Ittihad Kalba
59. FTAl-Wasl FC 1–1 Al-Ittihad Kalba after 90 minutes, as graded · Al-Wasl FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.