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Sharjah FC v Al-Jazira

Sharjah FC

0–0Full time

Al-Jazira

League Cup · FRI 9 OCT · Sharjah Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Sharjah FC 0–0 Al-Jazira AL-JAZIRA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al-Jazira win~~38%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.875

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.853

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Jazira win at 38%.
81′🟨 YELLOW · 53' A. Dennis · Al-Jazira
81′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Al-Jazira · On: A. Ramadan · Off: J. Geusens
81′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al-Jazira · On: A. Al Memari · Off: M. Jatta
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sharjah FC · On: H. Suhail · Off: Y. Al Ghassani
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sharjah FC · On: Leo Silva · Off: Agner
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Jazira · On: N. Vukic · Off: A. Dennis
81′🟨 YELLOW · 82' C. Nsiala · Sharjah FC
92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sharjah FC · On: C. Doumbia · Off: I. Coronado
92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sharjah FC · On: Joao Pedro Chermont · Off: Khaled Ebraheim
92′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Sharjah FC · On: M. Hassan · Off: K. Laba
92′🟨 YELLOW · 93' A. Al Memari · Al-Jazira
FTFULL TIME Sharjah FC 0–0 Al-Jazira
FTSharjah FC 0–0 Al-Jazira · Al-Jazira win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sharjah FC win38%

Draw24%

Al-Jazira win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 16:45

Venue · Sharjah Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Sharjah FC

Formation not confirmed

40 A. Al Hosani

19 Khaled Ebraheim

23 D. Borges

31 C. Nsiala

66 Leandrinho

57 Lorran

8 Agner

6 C. Pickel

10 I. Coronado

16 Y. Al Ghassani

9 K. Laba

Coach · Jose Morais

Substitutes

1 · K. Tawhid

17 · M. Muhsin

5 · M. Katinic

2 · Joao Pedro Chermont

14 · S. Al Kaabi

15 · F. Jasim

88 · M. Hassan

74 · Leo Silva

34 · H. Suhail

99 · S. Al Saadi

98 · C. Doumbia

Al-Jazira

Formation not confirmed

55 A. Khaseif

2 Igor Serrote

4 Willyan Rocha

28 R. Tagir

39 N. Mujkic

10 Malcom

30 A. Dennis

70 M. Jatta

25 J. Geusens

94 Talisca

99 Vinicius Mello

Coach · Cosmin Olaroiu

Substitutes

1 · E. Destanoglu

54 · A. Al Hammadi

15 · M. Rabii

6 · M. Al Attas

7 · A. Ramadan

22 · N. Vukic

29 · J. De Los Santos

74 · S. Malkocoglu

72 · M. Diallo

61 · A. Bougma

81 · A. Al Memari

91 · E. Sagna

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sharjah FC

Formation not confirmed

40 A. Al Hosani

19 Khaled Ebraheim

23 D. Borges

31 C. Nsiala

66 Leandrinho

57 Lorran

8 Agner

6 C. Pickel

10 I. Coronado

16 Y. Al Ghassani

9 K. Laba

Coach · Jose Morais

Substitutes

1 · K. Tawhid

17 · M. Muhsin

5 · M. Katinic

2 · Joao Pedro Chermont

14 · S. Al Kaabi

15 · F. Jasim

88 · M. Hassan

74 · Leo Silva

34 · H. Suhail

99 · S. Al Saadi

98 · C. Doumbia

Al-Jazira

Formation not confirmed

55 A. Khaseif

2 Igor Serrote

4 Willyan Rocha

28 R. Tagir

39 N. Mujkic

10 Malcom

30 A. Dennis

70 M. Jatta

25 J. Geusens

94 Talisca

99 Vinicius Mello

Coach · Cosmin Olaroiu

Substitutes

1 · E. Destanoglu

54 · A. Al Hammadi

15 · M. Rabii

6 · M. Al Attas

7 · A. Ramadan

22 · N. Vukic

29 · J. De Los Santos

74 · S. Malkocoglu

72 · M. Diallo

61 · A. Bougma

81 · A. Al Memari

91 · E. Sagna

Our number · al-jazira winPublished 9 Oct 16:36

38% The market47%

Us38%

~~Market~~47%

We make Al-Jazira a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · al-jazira win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sharjah FC win	38%	28%	+10
Draw	24%	25%	−2
Al-Jazira win	38%	47%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	59%	58%	+1
Both teams to score	61%	60%	0
Over 1.5 goals	81%	79%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	37%	38%	−2
Sharjah FC or draw	62%	53%	+9
Sharjah FC clean sheet	22%	–	–
Al-Jazira clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.7 7.3 5.6 2.9 1 7.3 10.8 8.3 4.3 2 5.5 8.3 6.3 3.2 3 2.8 4.2 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sharjah FC down, Al-Jazira across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 945 Pro League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

11 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 11 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sharjah FC at home: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Al-Jazira away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Sharjah FC, 1.53 for Al-Jazira. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 11

~~Both scored~~6 of 11

~~Last meetings~~SHA 0–2 ALJ · ALJ 5–0 SHA · SHA 0–1 ALJ · ALJ 1–1 SHA

Form · last six in League Cup

SHARJAH FC

WWLWWL3–1 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 4–3 · 0–1

AL-JAZIRA

WWWWWD4–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Wasl FC	3	+6	9
2	Al Nasr	3	+5	7
3	Baniyas SC	2	+4	6
4	Al-Jazira	2	+3	6
5	Ajman	2	+2	6
6	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	3	+1	5
7	Al-Ittihad Kalba	3	−3	4
8	Sharjah FC	2	0	3
9	Dubai United	3	−2	3
10	Al Ain	3	−2	1
11	Hatta SC	3	−4	1
12	Al-Dhafra	2	−3	0
13	Al Wahda FC	2	−3	0
14	Khorfakkan	3	−4	0