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Ajman v Baniyas SC

Ajman
1–0Full time
Baniyas SC

League Cup · FRI 9 OCT · Ajman Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04
Ajman 1–0 Baniyas SC AJMAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ajman win47%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.421
The market’s Brier score0.516

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ajman win47%
Draw24%
Baniyas SC win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:10

Venue · Ajman Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Ajman

Formation not confirmed

40 I. Al Tamimi

4 S. Suliman

2 A. Rakan

44 Yuri Matias

22 Vitor Vargas

26 B. Yousif

18 I. Moumen

99 V. Henrique

48 S. Hadani

33 Lithierry

9 W. Azaro

Coach · Goran Tufegdzic

Substitutes

30 · Y. Ahmed

12 · M. Nasser

3 · A. Al Junaibi

5 · G. Zajkov

23 · A. Sulaiman

14 · F. Ben Njima

6 · Victor Hugo

92 · M. Yazan

10 · M. Jumaa

11 · A. Abdelaziz

7 · Lourency

31 · Y. Jabri

Baniyas SC

Formation not confirmed

55 F. Mohamed

26 K. Al Mansoori

25 N. Djekovic

5 H. Al Muharrami

3 Joao Victor

7 F. Awana

28 A. Diallo

18 S. Al Noobi

6 J. Awoute

11 A. Koroma

12 Y. Niakate

Coach · Hassan Al Abdooli

Substitutes

33 · Fadaq Adel

17 · L. Turatto

21 · M. Hunt

4 · S. Sosu

16 · K. Hashemi

79 · M. Al Amoodi

10 · L. Verde

70 · A. Ganiev

20 · S. Al Menhali

27 · B. Ince

19 · R. Marciano

9 · A. Fawzi

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ajman

Formation not confirmed

40 I. Al Tamimi

4 S. Suliman

2 A. Rakan

44 Yuri Matias

22 Vitor Vargas

26 B. Yousif

18 I. Moumen

99 V. Henrique

48 S. Hadani

33 Lithierry

9 W. Azaro

Coach · Goran Tufegdzic

Substitutes

30 · Y. Ahmed

12 · M. Nasser

3 · A. Al Junaibi

5 · G. Zajkov

23 · A. Sulaiman

14 · F. Ben Njima

6 · Victor Hugo

92 · M. Yazan

10 · M. Jumaa

11 · A. Abdelaziz

7 · Lourency

31 · Y. Jabri

Baniyas SC

Formation not confirmed

55 F. Mohamed

26 K. Al Mansoori

25 N. Djekovic

5 H. Al Muharrami

3 Joao Victor

7 F. Awana

28 A. Diallo

18 S. Al Noobi

6 J. Awoute

11 A. Koroma

12 Y. Niakate

Coach · Hassan Al Abdooli

Substitutes

33 · Fadaq Adel

17 · L. Turatto

21 · M. Hunt

4 · S. Sosu

16 · K. Hashemi

79 · M. Al Amoodi

10 · L. Verde

70 · A. Ganiev

20 · S. Al Menhali

27 · B. Ince

19 · R. Marciano

9 · A. Fawzi

Our number · ajman winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
47% The market41%
Us47%
Market41%

We make Ajman a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 12:13
Our probability · ajman win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 43% to 41% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ajman win47%41%+6
Draw24%28%−4
Baniyas SC win29%31%−1
Over 2.5 goals57%51%+6
Both teams to score58%55%+3
Over 1.5 goals79%74%+6
Over 3.5 goals34%29%+5
Ajman or draw71%69%+1
Ajman clean sheet28%––
Baniyas SC clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 5.2 6.8 4.2 1 8.9 11.0 7.1 3.0 2 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 3 4.1 5.2 3.3 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ajman down, Baniyas SC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.70
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsAJM 1–1 BAN · BAN 0–1 AJM · AJM 2–3 BAN · BAN 3–1 AJM

Form · last six in League Cup

AJMAN

DWWLWL2–2 · 3–2 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 2–3

BANIYAS SC

LLLLLD1–4 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Wasl FC3+69
2Al Nasr3+57
3Baniyas SC2+46
4Al-Jazira2+36
5Ajman2+26
6Shabab Al Ahli Dubai3+15
7Al-Ittihad Kalba3−34
8Sharjah FC203
9Dubai United3−23
10Al Ain3−21
11Hatta SC3−41
12Al-Dhafra2−30
13Al Wahda FC2−30
14Khorfakkan3−40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.