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Ittifaq v Al Thaid

Ittifaq
1–0Full time
Al Thaid

Division 1 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04
Ittifaq 1–0 Al Thaid AL THAID WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Thaid win51%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.870
The market’s Brier score0.713

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ittifaq win26%
Draw23%
Al Thaid win51%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al thaid winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
51% The market42%
Us51%
Market42%

We make Al Thaid a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 12:11
Our probability · al thaid win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ittifaq win26%32%−6
Draw23%26%−3
Al Thaid win51%42%+9
Over 2.5 goals57%55%+2
Both teams to score58%58%0
Over 1.5 goals80%77%+2
Over 3.5 goals35%34%+2
Ittifaq or draw49%58%−9
Ittifaq clean sheet17%––
Al Thaid clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 5.3 9.0 8.1 4.8 2.2 1 6.0 10.7 9.4 5.7 2.6 2 3.6 6.4 5.6 3.4 3 2.6 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ittifaq down, Al Thaid across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsALT 1–0 ITT · ITT 0–1 ALT

Form · last six in Division 1

ITTIFAQ

WLDLLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–4

AL THAID

LLDWWW1–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Arabi5+813
2Al Thaid4+710
3Dibba Al-Fujairah4+49
4Forte Virtus4+29
5Al Hamriyah509
6Al Bataeh5−17
7Dibba Al Hisn4+36
8Al Fujairah SC5+16
9Gulf United4+16
10Emirates Club5+16
11Al Urooba506
12Palm City5−46
13Dubai City5−54
14Al Jazira Al Hamra5−102
15Ittifaq5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.