Emirates Club v Dibba Al-Fujairah prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Emirates ClubDrawDibba Al-Fujairah

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:50

Before kick-off · Match result · Dibba Al-Fujairah 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dibba Al-Fujairah are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Emirates Club 25%, draw 23%, Dibba Al-Fujairah 52%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Emirates Club v Dibba Al-FujairahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Emirates Club win25%

Draw23%

Dibba Al-Fujairah win52%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:50

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Emirates Club

Dibba Al-Fujairah

14Days since last match12

Last match: 16 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

Last match: 18 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dibba Al-Fujairah	6	+6	13
3	Emirates Club	7	+10	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dibba al-fujairah winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Dibba Al-Fujairah a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Emirates Club v Dibba Al-Fujairah~~1.15 – 1.78

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 13~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Emirates Club win	25%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Dibba Al-Fujairah win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Emirates Club or draw	48%	–	–
Emirates Club clean sheet	17%	–	–
Dibba Al-Fujairah clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.7 9.6 8.5 5.1 2.3 1 6.1 10.7 9.4 5.6 2.5 2 3.6 6.2 5.4 3.2 3 2.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Emirates Club down, Dibba Al-Fujairah across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,192 Division 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.2% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Emirates Club at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dibba Al-Fujairah away: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Emirates Club, 1.78 for Dibba Al-Fujairah. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EMI 1–2 DIB · DIB 3–1 EMI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug

EMIRATES CLUB

WLLWWW3–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 7–1

DIBBA AL-FUJAIRAH

WWLWDW3–1 · 4–3 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Arabi	7	+7	16
2	Dibba Al-Fujairah	6	+6	13
3	Emirates Club	7	+10	12
4	Forte Virtus	6	+2	12
5	Al Hamriyah	7	−1	12
6	Al Thaid	6	+5	10
7	Al Urooba	7	+3	10
8	Al Fujairah SC	7	0	9
9	Palm City	6	−2	9
10	Dibba Al Hisn	6	+3	8
11	Al Bataeh	7	−2	8
12	Gulf United	6	−6	6
13	Al Jazira Al Hamra	7	−9	6
14	Ittifaq	6	−6	4
15	Dubai City	7	−10	4