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Dubai City v Al Hamriyah

Dubai City
0–2Full time
Al Hamriyah

Division 1 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah AL HAMRIYAH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Hamriyah win59%
The market said56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.249
The market’s Brier score0.290

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Hamriyah win at 59%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Hamriyah 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 20–21–59
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dubai City v Al Hamriyah
  4. 9′Al Hamriyah score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
  5. 9′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 7–13–80
  6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Dubai City 0–1 Al Hamriyah
  7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
  8. 11′7′: I. de Souza Carmo on the scoresheet for Al Hamriyah, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 6–14–80
  10. 34′Al Hamriyah find the net on 33′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
  11. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
  12. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 94% now
  13. 35′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
  14. 38′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  15. 45′Al Hamriyah ahead on 33′ through Y. Ezzejjari. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  16. 45′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  17. 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
  20. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
  21. 81′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  22. FTFULL TIME Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
  23. FTDubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah · Al Hamriyah win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Hamriyah are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dubai City 20%, draw 21%, Al Hamriyah 59%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Dubai City v Al HamriyahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dubai City win20%
Draw21%
Al Hamriyah win59%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:05

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dubai City

Al Hamriyah

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

Last match: 11 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Al Hamriyah6−39
14Dubai City6−84

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hamriyah winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
59% The market56%
Us59%
Market56%

We make Al Hamriyah a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dubai City v Al Hamriyah1.13 – 2.11
Form · Division 1 this season · since 21 AugW1 D1 L4 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 4 v 914 v 9
The market · Al Hamriyah win56% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 11 OCT 04:0717 OCT 13:33
Our probability · Al Hamriyah win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dubai City win20%20%0
Draw21%24%−3
Al Hamriyah win59%56%+3
Over 2.5 goals63%59%+4
Both teams to score59%58%+1
Over 1.5 goals83%76%+7
Over 3.5 goals41%39%+2
Dubai City or draw41%44%−3
Dubai City clean sheet13%––
Al Hamriyah clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.6%
0123450 4.1 8.3 8.6 6.1 3.2 1 4.5 9.3 9.6 6.7 3.6 2 2.6 5.3 5.4 3.8 2.0 3 2.0 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dubai City down, Al Hamriyah across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.56 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsDUB 0–5 ALH · ALH 0–1 DUB · ALH 3–1 DUB · DUB 2–2 ALH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug

DUBAI CITY

LLWDLL1–3 · 1–5 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–3

AL HAMRIYAH

LWLWWL0–4 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Arabi6+916
2Emirates Club7+1012
3Al Thaid5+610
4Dibba Al-Fujairah5+410
5Al Urooba7+310
6Forte Virtus5+19
7Al Fujairah SC709
8Palm City6−29
9Al Hamriyah6−39
10Dibba Al Hisn6+38
11Al Bataeh6−18
12Gulf United6−66
13Ittifaq6−64
14Dubai City6−84
15Al Jazira Al Hamra6−103

The competition's standings before kick-off.