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Dubai City v Al Hamriyah
Dubai City
Al HamriyahDivision 1 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Hamriyah win at 59%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Hamriyah 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 20–21–59
- 1′KICK-OFF Dubai City v Al Hamriyah
- 9′Al Hamriyah score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
- 9′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 7–13–80
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Dubai City 0–1 Al Hamriyah
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
- 11′7′: I. de Souza Carmo on the scoresheet for Al Hamriyah, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 6–14–80
- 34′Al Hamriyah find the net on 33′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 94% now
- 35′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 38′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
- 45′Al Hamriyah ahead on 33′ through Y. Ezzejjari. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
- 45′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–2 · 1–4–95
- 45′HALF-TIME Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
- 46′SECOND HALF Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Al Hamriyah win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 81′We said Al Hamriyah at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Dubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah
- FTDubai City 0–2 Al Hamriyah · Al Hamriyah win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAl Hamriyah are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dubai City 20%, draw 21%, Al Hamriyah 59%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dubai City win20%
Al Hamriyah win59%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:05
RoundMatchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Dubai CityMIN
Al HamriyahEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dubai City
Al Hamriyah
Last match: 11 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)
Last match: 11 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Hamriyah a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai City win | 20% | 20% | 0 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Al Hamriyah win | 59% | 56% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 76% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 39% | +2 |
| Dubai City or draw | 41% | 44% | −3 |
| Dubai City clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Al Hamriyah clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug
DUBAI CITY
AL HAMRIYAH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Emirates Club | 7 | +10 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Thaid | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Al Urooba | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Forte Virtus | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Fujairah SC | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Palm City | 6 | −2 | 9 |
| 9 | Al Hamriyah | 6 | −3 | 9 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 6 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Bataeh | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gulf United | 6 | −6 | 6 |
| 13 | Ittifaq | 6 | −6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dubai City | 6 | −8 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 6 | −10 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al Arabi
Emirates Club
Al Thaid
Dibba Al-Fujairah
Al Urooba
Forte Virtus
Al Fujairah SC
Palm City
Dibba Al Hisn
Al Bataeh
Gulf United
Ittifaq
Al Jazira Al Hamra