Dibba Al Hisn v Dubai City prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dibba Al HisnDrawDubai City

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:50

Before kick-off · Match result · Dibba Al Hisn 77%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dibba Al Hisn are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dibba Al Hisn 77%, draw 14%, Dubai City 9%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Dibba Al Hisn v Dubai CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Dibba Al Hisn win77%

Draw14%

Dubai City win9%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:50

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dibba Al Hisn

Dubai City

14Days since last match13

Last match: 16 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

Last match: 17 Oct · Division 1 (United Arab Emirates)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Dibba Al Hisn	6	+3	8
15	Dubai City	7	−10	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dibba al hisn winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Dibba Al Hisn a 77% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dibba Al Hisn v Dubai City~~2.72 – 0.79

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 23 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 4~~10 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dibba Al Hisn win	77%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Dubai City win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Dibba Al Hisn or draw	91%	–	–
Dibba Al Hisn clean sheet	46%	–	–
Dubai City clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.9%

0123450 3.2 2.5 1 8.2 6.5 2.6 2 10.9 8.5 3.4 3 9.8 7.6 3.0 4 6.7 5.1 2.0 5 3.8 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Dibba Al Hisn down, Dubai City across0–5 goals a side shown (93.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,192 Division 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.2% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 6 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dibba Al Hisn at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Dubai City away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.72 goals for Dibba Al Hisn, 0.79 for Dubai City. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~DUB 0–2 DIB · DIB 4–1 DUB · DIB 4–1 DUB · DUB 1–2 DIB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 23 Aug

DIBBA AL HISN

WLLWDD4–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

DUBAI CITY

LWDLLL1–5 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Arabi	7	+7	16
2	Dibba Al-Fujairah	6	+6	13
3	Emirates Club	7	+10	12
4	Forte Virtus	6	+2	12
5	Al Hamriyah	7	−1	12
6	Al Thaid	6	+5	10
7	Al Urooba	7	+3	10
8	Al Fujairah SC	7	0	9
9	Palm City	6	−2	9
10	Dibba Al Hisn	6	+3	8
11	Al Bataeh	7	−2	8
12	Gulf United	6	−6	6
13	Al Jazira Al Hamra	7	−9	6
14	Ittifaq	6	−6	4
15	Dubai City	7	−10	4