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Dibba Al Hisn v Al Bataeh

Dibba Al Hisn

2–2Full time

Al Bataeh

Division 1 · SUN 11 OCT · Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh DIBBA AL HISN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dibba Al Hisn win~~49%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.855

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.807

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dibba Al Hisn win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: Dibba Al Hisn was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
2′Much as we predicted: Dibba Al Hisn was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
20′A goal for Al Bataeh on 18′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 20–26–55
22′A goal for Al Bataeh on 18′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 19–26–55
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Dibba Al Hisn win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Al Bataeh win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Dibba Al Hisn win 20%)
45′HALF-TIME Dibba Al Hisn 1–2 Al Bataeh
45′⚽ GOAL · 11' Dibba Al Hisn 1–2 Al Bataeh · G. Matos
45′⚽ GOAL · 15' Dibba Al Hisn 1–2 Al Bataeh · M. Eisa
45′⚽ GOAL · 19' Dibba Al Hisn 1–2 Al Bataeh · S. Lega
46′SECOND HALF Dibba Al Hisn 1–2 Al Bataeh
85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh
88′⚽ GOAL · 11' Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh · G. Matos
88′⚽ GOAL · 15' Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh · M. Eisa
88′⚽ GOAL · 19' Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh · S. Lega
88′⚽ GOAL · 84' Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh · A. Nabil
FTFULL TIME Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh
FTDibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh · Dibba Al Hisn win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Dibba Al Hisn win49%

Draw26%

Al Bataeh win25%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:10

VenueSaqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Dibba Al Hisn

Al Bataeh

23Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Al Bataeh	5	−1	7
7	Dibba Al Hisn	4	+3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dibba al hisn winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

49% The market42%

Us49%

~~Market~~42%

We make Dibba Al Hisn a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · dibba al hisn win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 44% to 42% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dibba Al Hisn win	49%	42%	+7
Draw	26%	27%	−1
Al Bataeh win	25%	31%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	46%	53%	−7
Both teams to score	48%	57%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	71%	76%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	25%	32%	−7
Dibba Al Hisn or draw	75%	69%	+6
Dibba Al Hisn clean sheet	37%	–	–
Al Bataeh clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%

0123450 8.6 8.3 4.2 1 12.1 11.8 5.9 2.0 2 9.1 8.8 4.4 3 4.7 4.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dibba Al Hisn down, Al Bataeh across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,181 Division 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.9% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dibba Al Hisn at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Al Bataeh away: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Dibba Al Hisn, 1.00 for Al Bataeh. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~DIB 1–2 ALB · ALB 1–2 DIB

Form · last six in Division 1

DIBBA AL HISN

WWWLLW3–1 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–1

AL BATAEH

WWDLWL4–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Arabi	6	+9	16
2	Al Thaid	5	+6	10
3	Dibba Al-Fujairah	5	+4	10
4	Forte Virtus	4	+2	9
5	Al Hamriyah	5	0	9
6	Al Bataeh	5	−1	7
7	Dibba Al Hisn	4	+3	6
8	Al Fujairah SC	5	+1	6
9	Emirates Club	5	+1	6
10	Gulf United	5	0	6
11	Al Urooba	5	0	6
12	Palm City	5	−4	6
13	Dubai City	5	−5	4
14	Ittifaq	6	−6	4
15	Al Jazira Al Hamra	6	−10	3