Al Bataeh v Forte Virtus

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Bataeh win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al Bataeh was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Bataeh v Forte Virtus
4. 4′Forte Virtus find the net on 4′. 0–1. 0–1 · 24–22–54
5. 4′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–54
6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Al Bataeh 0–1 Forte Virtus
7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 24% now
8. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Forte Virtus win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Al Bataeh win 24%)
9. 22′A goal for Forte Virtus on 21′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 7–12–80
10. 22′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–12–80
11. 22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Al Bataeh 0–2 Forte Virtus
12. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
13. 33′Al Bataeh score on 33′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 16–24–59
14. 33′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–2 · 16–24–59
15. 33′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 16–24–59
16. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Al Bataeh 1–2 Forte Virtus
17. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
18. 38′Al Bataeh find the net on 37′. 2–2. 2–2 · 39–35–26
19. 38′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 39–35–26
20. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Al Bataeh 2–2 Forte Virtus
21. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 39% now
22. 40′Al Bataeh level it on 38′ through Vittor Moura. 2–2. 2–2 · 39–36–26
23. 45′HALF-TIME Al Bataeh 2–2 Forte Virtus
24. 46′SECOND HALF Al Bataeh 2–2 Forte Virtus
25. 50′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 2–2 · 35–41–24
26. 50′A red card for Forte Virtus on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–2 · 35–41–24
27. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Forte Virtus win 24%)
28. 50′🟥 RED CARD · 45+5' Forte Virtus
29. 52′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–42–23
30. 62′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–50–20
31. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
32. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
33. 80′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–10
34. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Al Bataeh win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
35. 91′We said Al Bataeh at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
36. 92′A goal for Forte Virtus on 90′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–3–97
37. 92′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–3–97
38. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Al Bataeh 2–3 Forte Virtus
39. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Forte Virtus win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
40. FTFULL TIME Al Bataeh 2–3 Forte Virtus
41. FTAl Bataeh 2–3 Forte Virtus · Al Bataeh win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.