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Al Arabi v Gulf United

Al Arabi
2–1Full time
Gulf United

Division 1 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04
Al Arabi 2–1 Gulf United AL ARABI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Al Arabi win59%
The market said57%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.255
The market’s Brier score0.275

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al Arabi win59%
Draw21%
Gulf United win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:15

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al arabi winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
59% The market57%
Us59%
Market57%

We make Al Arabi a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 11:41
Our probability · al arabi win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 56% to 57% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Arabi win59%57%+2
Draw21%23%−2
Gulf United win20%20%+1
Over 2.5 goals62%58%+5
Both teams to score59%56%+3
Over 1.5 goals83%78%+5
Over 3.5 goals41%37%+3
Al Arabi or draw80%80%−1
Al Arabi clean sheet32%––
Gulf United clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%
0123450 4.2 4.5 2.6 1 8.2 9.4 5.4 2.1 2 8.5 9.6 5.5 2.1 3 6.0 6.7 3.8 4 3.2 3.5 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Arabi down, Gulf United across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored5 of 6
Last meetingsALA 2–1 GUL · GUL 2–3 ALA · GUL 1–1 ALA · ALA 3–1 GUL

Form · last six in Division 1

AL ARABI

LWWWDW1–2 · 5–2 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–2

GULF UNITED

LLLLWW0–1 · 0–1 · 3–4 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Arabi5+813
2Al Thaid4+710
3Dibba Al-Fujairah4+49
4Forte Virtus4+29
5Al Hamriyah509
6Al Bataeh5−17
7Dibba Al Hisn4+36
8Al Fujairah SC5+16
9Gulf United4+16
10Emirates Club5+16
11Al Urooba506
12Palm City5−46
13Dubai City5−54
14Al Jazira Al Hamra5−102
15Ittifaq5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.