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Model 1.1

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Zhytomyr U19 v Veres Rivne U19

Zhytomyr U19
2–3Full time
Veres Rivne U19

U19 League · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 14:19
Zhytomyr U19 2–3 Veres Rivne U19 ZHYTOMYR U19 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zhytomyr U19 win38%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.694
The market’s Brier score0.708

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zhytomyr U19 win at 38%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Zhytomyr U19 was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–30–32
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Zhytomyr U19 v Veres Rivne U19
  4. 3′Veres Rivne U19 find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 15–23–63
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Zhytomyr U19 0–1 Veres Rivne U19
  6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 15% now
  7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Veres Rivne U19 win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Zhytomyr U19 win 15%)
  8. 4′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–23–63
  9. 5′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  10. 12′A goal for Zhytomyr U19 on 12′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–33–31
  11. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Zhytomyr U19 1–1 Veres Rivne U19
  12. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 36% now
  13. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Zhytomyr U19 1–2 Veres Rivne U19
  14. 17′16′ and it is 1–2: Veres Rivne U19 have scored. 1–2 · 12–23–65
  15. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 12% now
  16. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 10–23–67
  17. 33′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–68
  18. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
  19. 45′HALF-TIME Zhytomyr U19 1–2 Veres Rivne U19
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Zhytomyr U19 1–2 Veres Rivne U19
  21. 53′Zhytomyr U19 find the net on 53′. 2–2. 2–2 · 26–51–23
  22. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Zhytomyr U19 2–2 Veres Rivne U19
  23. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 26% now
  24. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Veres Rivne U19 win 23%)
  25. 54′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 26–51–23
  26. 55′4 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 25–52–22
  27. 58′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–54–21
  28. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
  29. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Zhytomyr U19 2–3 Veres Rivne U19
  30. 71′A goal for Veres Rivne U19 on 70′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 2–15–83
  31. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Zhytomyr U19 win: 38% at kick-off, 2% now
  32. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Veres Rivne U19 win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
  33. 72′We said Zhytomyr U19 at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 2–3 · 2–15–84
  34. 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 2–14–84
  35. FTFULL TIME Zhytomyr U19 2–3 Veres Rivne U19
  36. FTZhytomyr U19 2–3 Veres Rivne U19 · Zhytomyr U19 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Zhytomyr U19 v Veres Rivne U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off

Zhytomyr U19 win38%
Draw30%
Veres Rivne U19 win32%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 11:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Zhytomyr U19

Veres Rivne U19

7Days since last match6
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Zhytomyr U199-312
9Veres Rivne U198-110

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zhytomyr u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off
38% The market42%
Us38%
Market42%

We make Zhytomyr U19 a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zhytomyr U19 v Veres Rivne U191.10 – 0.99
Last six in U19 LeagueW3 D0 L3 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 12 v 107 v 9
The market · Zhytomyr U19 win42% · ours 38%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 04:55
Our probability · zhytomyr u19 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 37%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zhytomyr U19 win38%42%−5
Draw30%26%+5
Veres Rivne U19 win32%32%0
Over 2.5 goals35%53%−18
Both teams to score41%56%−15
Over 1.5 goals61%76%−15
Over 3.5 goals16%30%−14
Zhytomyr U19 or draw68%68%0
Zhytomyr U19 clean sheet38%––
Veres Rivne U19 clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%
0123450 13.3 12.2 6.1 2.1 1 13.4 13.1 6.4 2.2 2 7.4 7.1 3.5 3 2.8 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zhytomyr U19 down, Veres Rivne U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting1.83
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsZHY 0–0 VER · VER 1–2 ZHY · VER 1–1 ZHY · ZHY 3–1 VER

Form · last six in U19 League

ZHYTOMYR U19

LWWWLL0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

VERES RIVNE U19

DLWDDD1–1 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rukh Vynnyky U1982924
2Dynamo Kyiv U1991119
3Karpaty Lviv U199918
4Livyi Bereh U198214
5LNZ Cherkasy U199114
6Oleksandria U199-313
7Zhytomyr U199-312
8Shakhtar Donetsk U198-111
9Veres Rivne U198-110
10Metalist 1925 U199-810
11Obolon' Kyiv U199-59
12SK Metalurh U199-128
13Lviv U199-96
14Kolos Kovalivka U199-106

The competition's standings.