Zhytomyr U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19 prediction · U19 League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Zhytomyr U19DrawRukh Vynnyky U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rukh Vynnyky U19 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rukh Vynnyky U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zhytomyr U19 25%, draw 22%, Rukh Vynnyky U19 53%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Zhytomyr U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Zhytomyr U19 win25%

Draw22%

Rukh Vynnyky U19 win53%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zhytomyr U19

Rukh Vynnyky U19

14Days since last match6

Last match: 14 Oct · U19 League

Last match: 22 Oct · U19 League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rukh vynnyky u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Rukh Vynnyky U19 a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zhytomyr U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19~~1.19 – 1.89

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 2 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 27~~9 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rukh Vynnyky U19 win

Published at 55%, 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zhytomyr U19 win	25%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Rukh Vynnyky U19 win	53%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Zhytomyr U19 or draw	47%	–	–
Zhytomyr U19 clean sheet	17%	–	–
Rukh Vynnyky U19 clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 5.2 8.8 8.1 5.1 2.6 1 5.8 10.2 9.0 5.6 2.8 2 3.6 6.1 5.3 3.3 3 2.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zhytomyr U19 down, Rukh Vynnyky U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 794 U19 League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.83 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zhytomyr U19 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Rukh Vynnyky U19 away: 4.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Zhytomyr U19, 1.89 for Rukh Vynnyky U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.83

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ZHY 1–3 RUK · RUK 0–0 ZHY · ZHY 3–0 RUK · RUK 0–1 ZHY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 2 Sept

ZHYTOMYR U19

WWWLLL2–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–3

RUKH VYNNYKY U19

WWWWWL3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 6–1 · 7–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	10	+35	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	11	+13	25
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	+4	20
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	−1	20
5	Karpaty Lviv U19	11	+8	19
6	Oleksandria U19	11	+2	17
7	Metalist 1925 U19	11	−6	14
8	Veres Rivne U19	10	−1	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	−1	12
11	Lviv U19	11	−10	9
12	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	−18	8
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	11	−14	6