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SK Metalurh U19 v Oleksandria U19

SK Metalurh U19
0–5Full time
Oleksandria U19

U19 League · WED 14 OCT · Slavutych-Arena

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 13:53
SK Metalurh U19 0–5 Oleksandria U19 SK METALURH U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said SK Metalurh U19 win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.618

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SK Metalurh U19 win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: SK Metalurh U19 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–22–37
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SK Metalurh U19 v Oleksandria U19
  4. 28′Oleksandria U19 find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–21–62
  5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' SK Metalurh U19 0–1 Oleksandria U19
  6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' SK Metalurh U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 17% now
  7. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Oleksandria U19 win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was SK Metalurh U19 win 17%)
  8. 29′We said SK Metalurh U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–21–62
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 16–22–62
  10. 37′We said SK Metalurh U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–63
  11. 38′A goal for Oleksandria U19 on 38′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
  12. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' SK Metalurh U19 0–2 Oleksandria U19
  13. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' SK Metalurh U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 4% now
  14. 39′We said SK Metalurh U19 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
  15. 40′39′ and it is 0–3: Oleksandria U19 have scored. 0–3 · 1–3–96
  16. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' SK Metalurh U19 0–3 Oleksandria U19
  17. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' SK Metalurh U19 win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
  18. 43′Oleksandria U19 find the net on 43′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–1–99
  19. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' SK Metalurh U19 0–4 Oleksandria U19
  20. 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–1–99
  21. 45′HALF-TIME SK Metalurh U19 0–4 Oleksandria U19
  22. 46′SECOND HALF SK Metalurh U19 0–4 Oleksandria U19
  23. 62′A goal for Oleksandria U19 on 62′ — 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
  24. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' SK Metalurh U19 0–5 Oleksandria U19
  25. 63′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 0–5 · 0–0–100
  26. FTFULL TIME SK Metalurh U19 0–5 Oleksandria U19
  27. FTSK Metalurh U19 0–5 Oleksandria U19 · SK Metalurh U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on SK Metalurh U19 v Oleksandria U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off

SK Metalurh U19 win41%
Draw22%
Oleksandria U19 win37%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 11:00

VenueSlavutych-Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

SK Metalurh U19

Oleksandria U19

8Days since last match7
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Oleksandria U199-313
12SK Metalurh U199-128

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sk metalurh u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make SK Metalurh U19 a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SK Metalurh U19 v Oleksandria U191.82 – 1.71
Last six in U19 LeagueW1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 8 v 1312 v 6

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SK Metalurh U19 win41%––
Draw22%––
Oleksandria U19 win37%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score67%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals46%––
SK Metalurh U19 or draw63%––
SK Metalurh U19 clean sheet19%––
Oleksandria U19 clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%
0123450 3.4 5.2 4.4 2.5 1 5.5 9.1 7.4 4.2 2 5.0 8.0 6.6 3.7 3 3.1 4.9 4.0 2.3 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SK Metalurh U19 down, Oleksandria U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2023

No meetings between these two in U19 League since 2023. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in U19 League

SK METALURH U19

WLLDLL3–1 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–6

OLEKSANDRIA U19

WLDLLW2–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rukh Vynnyky U1982924
2Dynamo Kyiv U1991119
3Karpaty Lviv U199918
4Livyi Bereh U198214
5LNZ Cherkasy U199114
6Oleksandria U199-313
7Zhytomyr U199-312
8Shakhtar Donetsk U198-111
9Veres Rivne U198-110
10Metalist 1925 U199-810
11Obolon' Kyiv U199-59
12SK Metalurh U199-128
13Lviv U199-96
14Kolos Kovalivka U199-106

The competition's standings.