Shakhtar Donetsk U19 v Livyi Bereh U19 prediction · U19 League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Shakhtar Donetsk U19DrawLivyi Bereh U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Shakhtar Donetsk U19 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Shakhtar Donetsk U19 76%, draw 14%, Livyi Bereh U19 10%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Shakhtar Donetsk U19 v Livyi Bereh U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win76%

Draw14%

Livyi Bereh U19 win10%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Shakhtar Donetsk U19

Livyi Bereh U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Youth League

Last match: 21 Oct · U19 League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	−1	20
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shakhtar donetsk u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Shakhtar Donetsk U19 a 76% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Shakhtar Donetsk U19 v Livyi Bereh U19~~2.97 – 1.01

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 26 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 20~~10 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win	76%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Livyi Bereh U19 win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 or draw	90%	–	–
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 clean sheet	37%	–	–
Livyi Bereh U19 clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.3%

0123450 2.3 2.0 1 5.9 5.8 2.9 2 8.3 8.0 4.0 3 8.0 7.7 3.9 4 5.9 5.7 2.9 5 3.6 3.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Shakhtar Donetsk U19 down, Livyi Bereh U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (90.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 794 U19 League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 5.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at home: 2.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Livyi Bereh U19 away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.97 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk U19, 1.01 for Livyi Bereh U19. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~5.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SHA 2–2 LIV · LIV 1–6 SHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 26 Aug

SHAKHTAR DONETSK U19

LDWLDD1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

LIVYI BEREH U19

DWLWLW1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 0–7 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	10	+35	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	11	+13	25
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	+4	20
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	−1	20
5	Karpaty Lviv U19	11	+8	19
6	Oleksandria U19	11	+2	17
7	Metalist 1925 U19	11	−6	14
8	Veres Rivne U19	10	−1	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	−1	12
11	Lviv U19	11	−10	9
12	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	−18	8
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	11	−14	6