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Home › Football › U19 League › Oleksandria U19 v Shakhtar Donetsk U19

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Oleksandria U19 v Shakhtar Donetsk U19

Oleksandria U19
1–1Full time
Shakhtar Donetsk U19

U19 League · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 13:30
Oleksandria U19 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 SHAKHTAR DONETSK U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win63%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.090

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win at 63%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Shakhtar Donetsk U19 63% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 19–19–62
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Oleksandria U19 v Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  4. 27′Shakhtar Donetsk U19 find the net on 27′. 0–1. 0–1 · 6–13–80
  5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Oleksandria U19 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 80% now
  7. 28′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 6–13–80
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 6–13–80
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Oleksandria U19 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Oleksandria U19 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  11. 52′A goal for Oleksandria U19 on 52′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 19–35–47
  12. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Oleksandria U19 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  13. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 47% now
  14. 53′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 1–1 · 19–35–46
  15. 56′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 18–37–44
  16. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
  17. 64′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 17–44–39
  18. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win 42%)
  19. 69′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 15–50–34
  20. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
  21. 74′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 13–57–29
  22. 78′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 11–65–24
  23. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 22% now
  24. 81′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 9–72–19
  25. 84′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 7–80–14
  26. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
  27. 89′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 4–87–9
  28. 93′We said Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–94–4
  29. FTFULL TIME Oleksandria U19 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
  30. FTOleksandria U19 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oleksandria U19 19%, draw 19%, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 63%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Oleksandria U19 v Shakhtar Donetsk U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Oleksandria U19 win19%
Draw19%
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win63%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oleksandria U19

Shakhtar Donetsk U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · U19 League

Last match: 14 Oct · UEFA Youth League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Oleksandria U1910+216
10Shakhtar Donetsk U198−111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shakhtar donetsk u19 winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Shakhtar Donetsk U19 a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Oleksandria U19 v Shakhtar Donetsk U191.24 – 2.40
Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 19 AugW2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 16 v 116 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Oleksandria U19 win19%––
Draw19%––
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win63%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals49%––
Oleksandria U19 or draw37%––
Oleksandria U19 clean sheet10%––
Shakhtar Donetsk U19 clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.0%
0123450 3.0 6.5 7.6 6.0 3.7 1 3.4 7.8 9.0 7.1 4.3 2.22 2.1 4.7 5.5 4.4 2.7 3 2.0 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Oleksandria U19 down, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.17
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsOLE 0–5 SHA · SHA 3–1 OLE · SHA 3–0 OLE · OLE 1–3 SHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 19 Aug

OLEKSANDRIA U19

LDLLWW1–3 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 5–0

SHAKHTAR DONETSK U19

LLDWLD0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rukh Vynnyky U199+3627
2Dynamo Kyiv U1910+1222
3Karpaty Lviv U1910+818
4LNZ Cherkasy U1910+317
5Livyi Bereh U1910−217
6Oleksandria U1910+216
7Veres Rivne U199013
8Metalist 1925 U1910−613
9Zhytomyr U1910−412
10Shakhtar Donetsk U198−111
11Obolon' Kyiv U1910−79
12SK Metalurh U1910−178
13Kolos Kovalivka U1910−126
14Lviv U1910−126

The competition's standings before kick-off.