Lviv U19 v SK Metalurh U19 prediction · U19 League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Lviv U19DrawSK Metalurh U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Lviv U19 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lviv U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lviv U19 55%, draw 20%, SK Metalurh U19 25%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Lviv U19 v SK Metalurh U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lviv U19 win55%

Draw20%

SK Metalurh U19 win25%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lviv U19

SK Metalurh U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · U19 League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Lviv U19	11	−10	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	−18	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lviv u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Lviv U19 a 55% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lviv U19 v SK Metalurh U19~~2.20 – 1.41

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 9 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 9 v 8~~11 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lviv U19 win	55%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
SK Metalurh U19 win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Lviv U19 or draw	75%	–	–
Lviv U19 clean sheet	25%	–	–
SK Metalurh U19 clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.2 4.0 2.9 1 6.1 8.4 5.8 2.8 2 6.5 8.8 6.1 2.9 3 4.7 6.3 4.4 2.1 4 2.7 3.5 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lviv U19 down, SK Metalurh U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 794 U19 League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Lviv U19 at home: 0.80 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). SK Metalurh U19 away: 1.17 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Lviv U19, 1.41 for SK Metalurh U19. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 9 Sept

LVIV U19

LLWLLW1–2 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 3–1

SK METALURH U19

LDLLLL1–5 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–6 · 0–5 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	10	+35	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	11	+13	25
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	+4	20
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	−1	20
5	Karpaty Lviv U19	11	+8	19
6	Oleksandria U19	11	+2	17
7	Metalist 1925 U19	11	−6	14
8	Veres Rivne U19	10	−1	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	−1	12
11	Lviv U19	11	−10	9
12	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	−18	8
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	11	−14	6