LNZ Cherkasy U19 v Oleksandria U19 prediction · U19 League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LNZ Cherkasy U19DrawOleksandria U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · LNZ Cherkasy U19 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: LNZ Cherkasy U19 48%, draw 23%, Oleksandria U19 29%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on LNZ Cherkasy U19 v Oleksandria U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy U19 win48%

Draw23%

Oleksandria U19 win29%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

LNZ Cherkasy U19

Oleksandria U19

6Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · U19 League

Last match: 21 Oct · U19 League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	+4	20
6	Oleksandria U19	11	+2	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lnz cherkasy u19 winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make LNZ Cherkasy U19 a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · LNZ Cherkasy U19 v Oleksandria U19~~1.78 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 9 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 17~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · LNZ Cherkasy U19 win

Published at 46%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
LNZ Cherkasy U19 win	48%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Oleksandria U19 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
LNZ Cherkasy U19 or draw	71%	–	–
LNZ Cherkasy U19 clean sheet	27%	–	–
Oleksandria U19 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.0 6.1 4.1 1 8.0 10.4 6.9 3.2 2 7.0 8.9 5.9 2.7 3 4.2 5.3 3.5 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+LNZ Cherkasy U19 down, Oleksandria U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 794 U19 League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

LNZ Cherkasy U19 at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Oleksandria U19 away: 1.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for LNZ Cherkasy U19, 1.33 for Oleksandria U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LNZ 3–0 OLE · OLE 2–2 LNZ · OLE 1–1 LNZ · LNZ 0–6 OLE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 9 Sept

LNZ CHERKASY U19

LWWDWW0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–0

OLEKSANDRIA U19

DLLWWD0–0 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	10	+35	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	11	+13	25
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	+4	20
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	−1	20
5	Karpaty Lviv U19	11	+8	19
6	Oleksandria U19	11	+2	17
7	Metalist 1925 U19	11	−6	14
8	Veres Rivne U19	10	−1	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	−1	12
11	Lviv U19	11	−10	9
12	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	−18	8
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	11	−14	6