Livyi Bereh U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19 prediction · U19 League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Livyi Bereh U19 0–7 Rukh Vynnyky U19 RUKH VYNNYKY U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rukh Vynnyky U19 win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.258

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rukh Vynnyky U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Livyi Bereh U19 22%, draw 19%, Rukh Vynnyky U19 59%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Livyi Bereh U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Livyi Bereh U19 win22%

Draw19%

Rukh Vynnyky U19 win59%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Livyi Bereh U19

Rukh Vynnyky U19

3Days since last match11

Last match: 14 Oct · U19 League

Last match: 6 Oct · U19 League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rukh vynnyky u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 17 Oct 03:13 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Rukh Vynnyky U19 a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Livyi Bereh U19 v Rukh Vynnyky U19~~1.39 – 2.40

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 20 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 17 v 24~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rukh Vynnyky U19 win

Published at 11%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Livyi Bereh U19 win	22%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Rukh Vynnyky U19 win	59%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Livyi Bereh U19 or draw	41%	–	–
Livyi Bereh U19 clean sheet	11%	–	–
Rukh Vynnyky U19 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%

0123450 2.7 5.7 6.5 5.0 3.1 1 3.5 7.7 8.5 6.5 4.0 2.12 2.5 5.3 5.8 4.5 2.7 3 2.5 2.8 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Livyi Bereh U19 down, Rukh Vynnyky U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 787 U19 League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.7% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Livyi Bereh U19 at home: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rukh Vynnyky U19 away: 3.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Livyi Bereh U19, 2.40 for Rukh Vynnyky U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~LIV 1–1 RUK · RUK 7–1 LIV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 20 Aug

LIVYI BEREH U19

WLDWLW2–1 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 3–0

RUKH VYNNYKY U19

WWWWWW4–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 6–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	8	+29	24
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	10	+12	22
3	Karpaty Lviv U19	10	+8	18
4	Livyi Bereh U19	9	+5	17
5	LNZ Cherkasy U19	10	+3	17
6	Oleksandria U19	10	+2	16
7	Veres Rivne U19	9	0	13
8	Metalist 1925 U19	10	−6	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	8	−1	11
11	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
12	SK Metalurh U19	10	−17	8
13	Kolos Kovalivka U19	10	−12	6
14	Lviv U19	10	−12	6