Kolos Kovalivka U19 v Lviv U19 prediction · U19 League

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 13:01

Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–3 Lviv U19 KOLOS KOVALIVKA U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.061

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kolos Kovalivka U19 win at 60%.
1′KICK-OFF Kolos Kovalivka U19 v Lviv U19
2′Little has changed for our model: Kolos Kovalivka U19 60% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 60–21–19
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
42′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–33–19
43′A goal for Kolos Kovalivka U19 on 43′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–4
43′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–14–4
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–0 Lviv U19
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: 60% at kick-off, 81% now
45′HALF-TIME Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–0 Lviv U19
46′SECOND HALF Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–0 Lviv U19
65′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
70′Lviv U19 score on 70′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 30–56–14
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–1 Lviv U19
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Kolos Kovalivka U19 win 86%)
71′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–13
73′Lviv U19 find the net on 73′. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–22–73
73′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 1–2 · 5–22–73
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–2 Lviv U19
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: 60% at kick-off, 5% now
73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Lviv U19 win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 60%)
75′We said Kolos Kovalivka U19 at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
76′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–2 · 4–20–76
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: 60% at kick-off, under 1% now
91′A goal for Lviv U19 on 90′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
91′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–3 Lviv U19
FTFULL TIME Kolos Kovalivka U19 1–3 Lviv U19
FTKolos Kovalivka U19 1–3 Lviv U19 · Kolos Kovalivka U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Kolos Kovalivka U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kolos Kovalivka U19 60%, draw 21%, Lviv U19 19%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Kolos Kovalivka U19 v Lviv U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

Kolos Kovalivka U19 win60%

Draw21%

Lviv U19 win19%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kolos Kovalivka U19

Lviv U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · U19 League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Kolos Kovalivka U19	10	−12	6
14	Lviv U19	10	−12	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kolos kovalivka u19 winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Kolos Kovalivka U19 a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kolos Kovalivka U19 v Lviv U19~~2.06 – 1.04

~~Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 2 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~13 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kolos Kovalivka U19 win	60%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Lviv U19 win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Kolos Kovalivka U19 or draw	81%	–	–
Kolos Kovalivka U19 clean sheet	36%	–	–
Lviv U19 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 5.0 4.9 2.6 1 9.4 9.6 5.0 2 9.4 9.4 4.9 3 6.4 6.4 3.3 4 3.4 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kolos Kovalivka U19 down, Lviv U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 788 U19 League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games this season, across 68 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kolos Kovalivka U19 at home: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Lviv U19 away: 1.00 scored, 2.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.06 goals for Kolos Kovalivka U19, 1.04 for Lviv U19. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 League this season · since 2 Sept

KOLOS KOVALIVKA U19

WLLWLL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

LVIV U19

LLLWLL1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	9	+36	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	10	+12	22
3	Karpaty Lviv U19	10	+8	18
4	LNZ Cherkasy U19	10	+3	17
5	Livyi Bereh U19	10	−2	17
6	Oleksandria U19	10	+2	16
7	Veres Rivne U19	9	0	13
8	Metalist 1925 U19	10	−6	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	−4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	8	−1	11
11	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	−7	9
12	SK Metalurh U19	10	−17	8
13	Kolos Kovalivka U19	10	−12	6
14	Lviv U19	10	−12	6