Dynamo Kyiv U19 v Karpaty Lviv U19 prediction · U19 League

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 13:01

Dynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19 DYNAMO KYIV U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dynamo Kyiv U19 win~~75%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.091

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.519

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dynamo Kyiv U19 win at 75%.
1′Much as we predicted: Dynamo Kyiv U19 was 75% before kick-off and our model makes it 76% now. 0–0 · 76–14–10
1′KICK-OFF Dynamo Kyiv U19 v Karpaty Lviv U19
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Dynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19
23′22′ and it is 1–0: Dynamo Kyiv U19 have scored. 1–0 · 89–8–3
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Dynamo Kyiv U19 win: 75% at kick-off, 89% now
24′We published Dynamo Kyiv U19 at 75%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–3
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.9 we expected. 1–0 · 88–9–3
45′HALF-TIME Dynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19
46′SECOND HALF Dynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19
73′We published Dynamo Kyiv U19 at 75%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
84′We published Dynamo Kyiv U19 at 75%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Dynamo Kyiv U19 win: 75% at kick-off, 95% now
FTFULL TIME Dynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19
FTDynamo Kyiv U19 1–0 Karpaty Lviv U19 · Dynamo Kyiv U19 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Dynamo Kyiv U19 v Karpaty Lviv U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 09:24 · locked at kick-off

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win75%

Draw14%

Karpaty Lviv U19 win10%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 10:00

VenueDynamo Training Center

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Dynamo Kyiv U19

Karpaty Lviv U19

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	9	11	19
3	Karpaty Lviv U19	9	9	18

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dynamo kyiv u19 winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 09:24 · locked at kick-off

75% The market42%

Us75%

~~Market~~42%

We make Dynamo Kyiv U19 a 75% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 34 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.9–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dynamo Kyiv U19 v Karpaty Lviv U19~~2.89 – 0.99

~~Last six in U19 League~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 18~~2 v 3

~~The market · Dynamo Kyiv U19 win~~42% · ours 75%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · dynamo kyiv u19 win The market, margin stripped

Published at 76%, 75% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dynamo Kyiv U19 win	75%	42%	+34
Draw	14%	23%	−9
Karpaty Lviv U19 win	10%	35%	−25
Over 2.5 goals	73%	63%	+11
Both teams to score	58%	64%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	41%	+13
Dynamo Kyiv U19 or draw	90%	65%	+25
Dynamo Kyiv U19 clean sheet	38%	–	–
Karpaty Lviv U19 clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.7%

0123450 2.4 2.1 1 6.2 6.0 2.9 2 8.7 8.2 4.1 3 8.2 7.8 3.8 4 5.9 5.6 2.8 5 3.5 3.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Dynamo Kyiv U19 down, Karpaty Lviv U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 781 U19 League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

U19 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dynamo Kyiv U19 at home: 3.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Karpaty Lviv U19 away: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.89 goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19, 0.99 for Karpaty Lviv U19. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DYN 5–0 KAR · KAR 1–1 DYN · DYN 2–0 KAR · KAR 0–2 DYN

Form · last six in U19 League

DYNAMO KYIV U19

WWLWLW2–1 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

KARPATY LVIV U19

LWWWLW1–2 · 4–2 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	8	29	24
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	9	11	19
3	Karpaty Lviv U19	9	9	18
4	Livyi Bereh U19	8	2	14
5	LNZ Cherkasy U19	9	1	14
6	Oleksandria U19	9	-3	13
7	Zhytomyr U19	9	-3	12
8	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	8	-1	11
9	Veres Rivne U19	8	-1	10
10	Metalist 1925 U19	9	-8	10
11	Obolon' Kyiv U19	9	-5	9
12	SK Metalurh U19	9	-12	8
13	Lviv U19	9	-9	6
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	9	-10	6