Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shakhtar Donetsk win at 69%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Shakhtar Donetsk 69% before kick-off, 68% now. 0–0 · 68–19–13
3. 2′KICK-OFF Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk
4. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Pylyp Budkivskyi · Zorya Luhansk
5. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Lassina Traore · Shakhtar Donetsk
6. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
7. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Isaque · Shakhtar Donetsk
8. 38′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 57–29–14
9. 44′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–32–14
10. 45′HALF-TIME Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Zorya Luhansk
11. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 54% now
12. 47′SECOND HALF Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Zorya Luhansk
13. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Prosper Obah · Off: Isaque
14. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Marlon Gomes · Off: Dmytro Kryskiv
15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Alisson · Off: Bruno Braga Ramos
16. 53′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–37–14
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 49% now
18. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 48–39–13
19. 58′Shakhtar Donetsk have had 7 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 46–41–13
20. 60′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–43–13
21. 62′8 shots for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 42–45–13
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Zorya Luhansk · On: Igor Gorbach · Off: Pylyp Budkivskyi
23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Zorya Luhansk · On: Gerson Rodrigues · Off: Artem Slesar
24. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Shakhtar Donetsk win 44%)
25. 66′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–49–12
26. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Zorya Luhansk · On: Jakov Basic · Off: Dejan Popara
28. 71′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–56–11
29. 75′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–62–9
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 28% now
31. 78′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–68–8
32. 81′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–74–7
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Zorya Luhansk · On: Gabriel Eskinja · Off: Maksym Boyko
35. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Zorya Luhansk · On: sallieu bah · Off: Domagoj jelavic
36. 84′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–82–5
37. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Oleksandr Saputin · Zorya Luhansk
38. 88′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–3
39. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Shakhtar Donetsk win: 69% at kick-off, 9% now
40. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Kauã Elias · Off: Alaa Ghram
41. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Luca Meirelles · Off: Lassina Traore
42. 93′We said Shakhtar Donetsk at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–95–1
43. 94′Shakhtar Donetsk have had 13 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 3–97–1
44. FTFULL TIME Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Zorya Luhansk
45. FTShakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Zorya Luhansk · Shakhtar Donetsk win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.