Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dynamo Kyiv win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dynamo Kyiv 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 36–27–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv
4. 6′🟥 RED CARD · 5' Oleg Kudryk · Polessya
5. 7′Polessya are down to ten from 5′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 36–28–36
6. 9′SUBSTITUTION · 8' Polessya · On: Yevgen Volynets · Off: Vladyslav Veleten
7. 9′SUBSTITUTION · 8' Polessya · On: Ilir Krasniqi · Off: leandro andrade
8. 20′We said Dynamo Kyiv at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 0–1 · 14–21–66
9. 20′Dynamo Kyiv ahead on 19′ through Taras Mykhavko. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–21–66
10. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Polessya 0–1 Dynamo Kyiv
11. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 66% now
12. 26′Igor Krasnopir scores for Polessya on 26′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–32–34
13. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Polessya 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv
14. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 34% now
15. 39′Igor Krasnopir scores for Polessya on 26′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–37–32
16. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 32% now
17. 40′Polessya are down to ten from 5′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 31–37–32
18. 40′Little has changed for our model: Dynamo Kyiv 37% before kick-off, 32% now. 1–1 · 31–37–32
19. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Vladyslav Dubinchak · Dynamo Kyiv
20. 45′HALF-TIME Polessya 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv
21. 46′SECOND HALF Polessya 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv
22. 48′Igor Krasnopir scores for Polessya on 26′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–41–30
23. 48′Polessya are down to ten from 5′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 29–41–30
24. 48′Little has changed for our model: Dynamo Kyiv 37% before kick-off, 30% now. 1–1 · 29–41–30
25. 48′Dynamo Kyiv have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 29–41–30
26. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Dynamo Kyiv win 30%)
27. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Giorgi Maisuradze · Polessya
28. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Andrusw Araujo · Polessya
29. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Bogdan Mykhaylichenko · Polessya
30. 54′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 27–45–28
31. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Valentyn Rubchynskyi · Dynamo Kyiv
32. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+10' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
33. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
34. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Dynamo Kyiv · On: Justin Lonwijk · Off: Mykola Shaparenko
35. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Dynamo Kyiv · On: Keasse Bah · Off: Vladyslav Kabaev
36. 60′We said Dynamo Kyiv at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–50–25
37. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Polessya · On: Borys Krushynskyi · Off: Maksym Bragaru
38. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Polessya · On: Ruslan Babenko · Off: Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
39. 62′We said Dynamo Kyiv at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–51–24
40. 68′We said Dynamo Kyiv at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 2–1 · 79–18–3
41. 68′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–18–3
42. 68′67′: Igor Krasnopir on the scoresheet for Polessya, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–18–3
43. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Polessya 2–1 Dynamo Kyiv
44. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Dynamo Kyiv win: 37% at kick-off, 3% now
45. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Polessya win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
46. 69′68′: Igor Krasnopir on the scoresheet for Polessya, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–18–3
47. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Ruslan Neshcheret · Dynamo Kyiv
48. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dynamo Kyiv · On: Andriy Yarmolenko · Off: Nazar Voloshyn
49. 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–1–0
50. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Polessya 3–1 Dynamo Kyiv
51. 77′Polessya ahead on 76′ through Igor Krasnopir. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
52. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Polessya · On: Mykola Gayduchyk · Off: Igor Krasnopir
53. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Dynamo Kyiv · On: Mykola Mykhaylenko · Off: Valentyn Rubchynskyi
54. FTFULL TIME Polessya 3–1 Dynamo Kyiv
55. FTPolessya 3–1 Dynamo Kyiv · Dynamo Kyiv win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.