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Livyi Bereh v LNZ Cherkasy

Livyi Bereh
0–0Full time
LNZ Cherkasy

Premier League · SAT 24 OCT · Stadium Livyi Bereh

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Livyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ CHERKASY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said LNZ Cherkasy win42%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.657
The market’s Brier score0.781

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said LNZ Cherkasy win at 42%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: LNZ Cherkasy 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 23–35–41
  3. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was LNZ Cherkasy win 39%)
  4. 37′SUBSTITUTION · 36' LNZ Cherkasy · On: Artur Ryabov · Off: Oleg Gorin
  5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' LNZ Cherkasy win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  6. 45′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 19–51–30
  7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Artur Ryabov · LNZ Cherkasy
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Livyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Livyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy
  10. 48′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 18–53–29
  11. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' LNZ Cherkasy · On: Denys Kuzyk · Off: Papa Ndiaga Yade
  12. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' LNZ Cherkasy · On: Gennadiy Pasich · Off: Tedi Cara
  13. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' LNZ Cherkasy · On: Mark Assinor · Off: Korede Yemi Adedoyin
  14. 59′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 15–61–24
  15. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' LNZ Cherkasy win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  16. 68′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 12–69–19
  17. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' LNZ Cherkasy · On: Yegor Tverdokhlib · Off: Talles Brener De Paula
  18. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Livyi Bereh · On: Pape Malick Fall · Off: Dmytro Shastal
  19. 75′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 9–77–14
  20. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Vitalii Ponomarev · LNZ Cherkasy
  21. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Nazariy Vorobchak · Livyi Bereh
  22. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' LNZ Cherkasy win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  23. 91′We said LNZ Cherkasy at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 2–95–3
  24. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Livyi Bereh · On: Diego · Off: Vikentii Voloshyn
  25. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' LNZ Cherkasy win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  26. FTFULL TIME Livyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy
  27. FTLivyi Bereh 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy · LNZ Cherkasy win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Livyi Bereh 24%, draw 35%, LNZ Cherkasy 42%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Livyi Bereh v LNZ CherkasyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Livyi Bereh win24%
Draw35%
LNZ Cherkasy win42%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStadium Livyi Bereh

Line-ups

Livyi Bereh

4-1-4-1

LNZ Cherkasy

3-4-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Livyi Bereh

LNZ Cherkasy

5Days since last match6

Last match: 19 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 18 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6LNZ Cherkasy9+114
12Livyi Bereh8−27

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Livyi Bereh

4-1-4-1

12 R. Zhmurko

2 O. Sokolov

97 A. Yakymiv

13 I. Kovalenko

6 Sidney Silva Santos

25 Sergii Kosovskyi

17 N. Vorobchak

8 O. Kryvoruchko

15 V. Voloshyn

7 D. Shastal

9 Wendell

Coach · O. Ryabokon

Substitutes

10 · Diego

74 · D. Ignatenko

3 · I. Kotukha

14 · S. Tatolna

90 · N. Osei Bonsu

38 · A. Chelyadin

44 · Y. Banada

37 · Roman Heresh

20 · P. Fall

11 · I. Kvasnytsya

21 · N. Voloshyn

4 · V. Bondarenko

LNZ Cherkasy

3-4-3

1 D. Ledvii

25 O. Gorin

92 B. Slyubyk

14 O. Drambaev

93 V. Roman

29 R. Didyk

8 A. Yakubu

37 P. Yade

99 K. Adedoyin

30 Talles

77 T. Cara

Coach · Vitaliy Ponomaryov

Substitutes

90 · M. Assinor

49 · M. Donyk

9 · E. Tverdokhlib

16 · A. Ryabov

11 · H. Pasich

17 · D. Kuzyk

75 · A. Kitela

4 · A. Dajko

12 · O. Palamarchuk

72 · K. Samoylenko

Our number · lnz cherkasy winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off
42% The market48%
Us42%
Market48%

We make LNZ Cherkasy a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Livyi Bereh v LNZ Cherkasy0.68 – 1.02
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 29 AugW1 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 7 v 1412 v 6
The market · LNZ Cherkasy win48% · ours 42%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 10:49
Our probability · LNZ Cherkasy win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Livyi Bereh win24%23%+1
Draw35%29%+6
LNZ Cherkasy win42%48%−6
Over 2.5 goals24%41%−17
Both teams to score32%46%−14
Over 1.5 goals51%66%−15
Over 3.5 goals10%22%−12
Livyi Bereh or draw58%52%+6
Livyi Bereh clean sheet37%––
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet51%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.4%
0123450 19.4 17.8 9.4 3.3 1 11.8 13.0 6.2 2.2 2 4.3 4.3 2.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Livyi Bereh down, LNZ Cherkasy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsLIV 3–1 LNZ · LNZ 1–0 LIV · LNZ 2–1 LIV · LIV 2–1 LNZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 29 Aug

LIVYI BEREH

DDLWLL1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–2

LNZ CHERKASY

LDWLWW0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Polessya10+1525
2Shakhtar Donetsk9+1524
3Dynamo Kyiv9+519
4FC Kharkiv8+1018
5Karpaty9+915
6LNZ Cherkasy9+114
7Zorya Luhansk9−114
8Kolos Kovalivka9−111
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi9−39
10Veres Rivne10−79
11Bukovyna9−58
12Livyi Bereh8−27
13Obolon'-Brovar9−117
14Chornomorets8−65
15Kudrivka10−135
16Kryvbas KR7−65

The competition's standings before kick-off.