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Kudrivka v Bukovyna
Kudrivka
BukovynaPremier League · SAT 17 OCT · Obolon Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bukovyna win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Bukovyna 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 30–29–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Kudrivka v Bukovyna
- 5′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 5′Denys Svityukha scores for Kudrivka on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Kudrivka 1–0 Bukovyna
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
- 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Kudrivka win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Bukovyna win 19%)
- 16′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 83–11–5
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
- 17′16′: Artur Dumanyuk on the scoresheet for Kudrivka, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 84–11–5
- 23′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
- 45′SECOND HALF Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kudrivka · On: Oleksandr Beljaev · Off: Denys Svityukha
- 52′Ivan Petryak scores for Kudrivka on 50′. 2–0 · 92–6–1
- 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Kudrivka 3–0 Bukovyna · Ivan Petryak (assist Raymond Owusu)
- 57′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Kudrivka 3–1 Bukovyna
- 58′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi scores for Bukovyna on 57′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Dmytro Semenov · Kudrivka
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Bogdan Veklyak · Kudrivka
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Bukovyna · On: Mor Talla Gaye · Off: Andriy Busko
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Bukovyna · On: Danylo Kravchuk · Off: Maksym Zaderaka
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bukovyna · On: Mihael Klepač · Off: Vitaliy Grusha
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bukovyna · On: E. Odinaka · Off: Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kudrivka · On: Yevgeniy Smyrnyi · Off: Faites Prévu Kaya Makosso
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kudrivka · On: Mykola Vechurko · Off: Artur Dumanyuk
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Mykola Vechurko · Kudrivka
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kudrivka · On: Rodion Plaksa · Off: Ivan Petryak
- 80′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi scores for Bukovyna on 57′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 80′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 81′Raymond Owusu scores for Kudrivka on 79′. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 82′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 79' Kudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna · Raymond Owusu (assist Oleksandr Beljaev)
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bukovyna · On: F. Babak · Off: Oleh·Kozhushko
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kudrivka · On: Kyrylo Sigeev · Off: Raymond Owusu
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Mihael Klepač · Bukovyna
- FTFULL TIME Kudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna
- FTKudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna · Bukovyna win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBukovyna are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kudrivka 30%, draw 29%, Bukovyna 42%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Kudrivka win30%
Bukovyna win42%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueObolon Arena
RefereeSergiy Zadyran
Match timeline
All events
KudrivkaMIN
BukovynaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kudrivka
4-3-3
Bukovyna
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kudrivka
Bukovyna
Last match: 11 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Last match: 11 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Kudrivka
4-3-3
37 A. Yashkov
42 Y. Pasich
17 M. Serdyuk
22 B. Veklyak
91 M. Melnychuk
19 A. Dumanyuk
50 D. Semenov
14 K. Makosso
20 D. Svityukha
24 R. Owusu
7 I. Petryak
Coach · Oleksandr Protchenko
Substitutes
1 · K. Lavuta
9 · R. Verley
21 · O. Belyaev
29 · V. Adeoye
66 · K. Sigeev
25 · M. Ogarkov
71 · S. Sten
10 · R. Plaksa
73 · M. Kulyk
8 · Y. Smyrnyi
70 · D. Yesin
6 · M. Vechurko
Bukovyna
4-3-3
94 G. Penkov
24 A. Busko
5 V. Pryimak
3 M. Bezuglyy
95 P. Stasyuk
20 M. Zaderaka
44 V. Vitenchuk
25 V. Grusha
97 O. Ilyin
7 O. Kozhushko
11 V. Dakhnovskyi
Coach · Sergiy Shyshchenko
Substitutes
30 · D. Kanevtsev
4 · T. Sakiv
10 · B. Boychuk
12 · Y. Pidlepenets
17 · F. Babak
18 · E. Odinaka
21 · D. Kravchuk
69 · E. Romanets
70 · M. Talla
77 · M. Klepac
78 · M. Yakhontov
88 · R. Gorenko
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kudrivka
4-3-3
37 A. Yashkov
42 Y. Pasich
17 M. Serdyuk
22 B. Veklyak
91 M. Melnychuk
19 A. Dumanyuk
50 D. Semenov
14 K. Makosso
20 D. Svityukha
24 R. Owusu
7 I. Petryak
Coach · Oleksandr Protchenko
Substitutes
1 · K. Lavuta
9 · R. Verley
21 · O. Belyaev
29 · V. Adeoye
66 · K. Sigeev
25 · M. Ogarkov
71 · S. Sten
10 · R. Plaksa
73 · M. Kulyk
8 · Y. Smyrnyi
70 · D. Yesin
6 · M. Vechurko
Bukovyna
4-3-3
94 G. Penkov
24 A. Busko
5 V. Pryimak
3 M. Bezuglyy
95 P. Stasyuk
20 M. Zaderaka
44 V. Vitenchuk
25 V. Grusha
97 O. Ilyin
7 O. Kozhushko
11 V. Dakhnovskyi
Coach · Sergiy Shyshchenko
Substitutes
30 · D. Kanevtsev
4 · T. Sakiv
10 · B. Boychuk
12 · Y. Pidlepenets
17 · F. Babak
18 · E. Odinaka
21 · D. Kravchuk
69 · E. Romanets
70 · M. Talla
77 · M. Klepac
78 · M. Yakhontov
88 · R. Gorenko
We make Bukovyna a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kudrivka win | 30% | 25% | +5 |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | +6 |
| Bukovyna win | 42% | 52% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 60% | −17 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 60% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 80% | −11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 39% | −17 |
| Kudrivka or draw | 58% | 48% | +10 |
| Kudrivka clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Bukovyna clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Aug
KUDRIVKA
BUKOVYNA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | +14 | 21 |
| 2 | Polessya | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya Luhansk | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 9 | −5 | 9 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 8 | −3 | 8 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 8 | −8 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 8 | −14 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
FC Kharkiv
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
LNZ Cherkasy
Veres Rivne
Kolos Kovalivka
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Livyi Bereh
Obolon'-Brovar
Chornomorets
Kryvbas KR