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Kudrivka v Bukovyna

Kudrivka
4–1Full time
Bukovyna

Premier League · SAT 17 OCT · Obolon Arena

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Kudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna BUKOVYNA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Bukovyna win42%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.753
The market’s Brier score0.895

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bukovyna win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bukovyna 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 30–29–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kudrivka v Bukovyna
  4. 5′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
  5. 5′Denys Svityukha scores for Kudrivka on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 59–22–19
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Kudrivka 1–0 Bukovyna
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
  8. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Kudrivka win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Bukovyna win 19%)
  9. 16′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 83–11–5
  10. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
  11. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
  12. 17′16′: Artur Dumanyuk on the scoresheet for Kudrivka, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 84–11–5
  13. 23′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
  14. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Bukovyna win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
  16. 45′SECOND HALF Kudrivka 2–0 Bukovyna
  17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kudrivka · On: Oleksandr Beljaev · Off: Denys Svityukha
  18. 52′Ivan Petryak scores for Kudrivka on 50′. 2–0 · 92–6–1
  19. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  20. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Kudrivka 3–0 Bukovyna · Ivan Petryak (assist Raymond Owusu)
  21. 57′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  22. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Kudrivka 3–1 Bukovyna
  23. 58′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi scores for Bukovyna on 57′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  24. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Dmytro Semenov · Kudrivka
  25. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Bogdan Veklyak · Kudrivka
  26. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Bukovyna · On: Mor Talla Gaye · Off: Andriy Busko
  27. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Bukovyna · On: Danylo Kravchuk · Off: Maksym Zaderaka
  28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bukovyna · On: Mihael Klepač · Off: Vitaliy Grusha
  29. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Bukovyna · On: E. Odinaka · Off: Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi
  30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kudrivka · On: Yevgeniy Smyrnyi · Off: Faites Prévu Kaya Makosso
  31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kudrivka · On: Mykola Vechurko · Off: Artur Dumanyuk
  32. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Mykola Vechurko · Kudrivka
  33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kudrivka · On: Rodion Plaksa · Off: Ivan Petryak
  34. 80′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi scores for Bukovyna on 57′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  35. 80′We said Bukovyna at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  36. 81′Raymond Owusu scores for Kudrivka on 79′. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  37. 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  38. 82′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  39. 82′⚽ GOAL · 79' Kudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna · Raymond Owusu (assist Oleksandr Beljaev)
  40. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Bukovyna · On: F. Babak · Off: Oleh·Kozhushko
  41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kudrivka · On: Kyrylo Sigeev · Off: Raymond Owusu
  42. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Mihael Klepač · Bukovyna
  43. FTFULL TIME Kudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna
  44. FTKudrivka 4–1 Bukovyna · Bukovyna win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bukovyna are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kudrivka 30%, draw 29%, Bukovyna 42%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Kudrivka v BukovynaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kudrivka win30%
Draw29%
Bukovyna win42%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueObolon Arena

RefereeSergiy Zadyran

Line-ups

Kudrivka

4-3-3

Bukovyna

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kudrivka

Bukovyna

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 11 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Bukovyna8−28
16Kudrivka8−142

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kudrivka

4-3-3

37 A. Yashkov

42 Y. Pasich

17 M. Serdyuk

22 B. Veklyak

91 M. Melnychuk

19 A. Dumanyuk

50 D. Semenov

14 K. Makosso

20 D. Svityukha

24 R. Owusu

7 I. Petryak

Coach · Oleksandr Protchenko

Substitutes

1 · K. Lavuta

9 · R. Verley

21 · O. Belyaev

29 · V. Adeoye

66 · K. Sigeev

25 · M. Ogarkov

71 · S. Sten

10 · R. Plaksa

73 · M. Kulyk

8 · Y. Smyrnyi

70 · D. Yesin

6 · M. Vechurko

Bukovyna

4-3-3

94 G. Penkov

24 A. Busko

5 V. Pryimak

3 M. Bezuglyy

95 P. Stasyuk

20 M. Zaderaka

44 V. Vitenchuk

25 V. Grusha

97 O. Ilyin

7 O. Kozhushko

11 V. Dakhnovskyi

Coach · Sergiy Shyshchenko

Substitutes

30 · D. Kanevtsev

4 · T. Sakiv

10 · B. Boychuk

12 · Y. Pidlepenets

17 · F. Babak

18 · E. Odinaka

21 · D. Kravchuk

69 · E. Romanets

70 · M. Talla

77 · M. Klepac

78 · M. Yakhontov

88 · R. Gorenko

Our number · bukovyna winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:07 · locked at kick-off
42% The market52%
Us42%
Market52%

We make Bukovyna a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kudrivka v Bukovyna1.07 – 1.33
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 AugW0 D1 L5 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 2 v 816 v 10
The market · Bukovyna win52% · ours 42%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%40%50%60%70% 11 OCT 04:0717 OCT 12:58
Our probability · Bukovyna win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kudrivka win30%25%+5
Draw29%23%+6
Bukovyna win42%52%−10
Over 2.5 goals43%60%−17
Both teams to score48%60%−12
Over 1.5 goals69%80%−11
Over 3.5 goals22%39%−17
Kudrivka or draw58%48%+10
Kudrivka clean sheet27%––
Bukovyna clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 10.3 11.5 8.0 3.6 1 9.2 13.2 8.2 3.7 2 5.3 6.7 4.4 3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kudrivka down, Bukovyna across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsKUD 2–0 BUK · BUK 1–0 KUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 15 Aug

KUDRIVKA

DLLLLL0–0 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–2

BUKOVYNA

LWDDLD0–3 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Shakhtar Donetsk8+1421
2Polessya8+1019
3Dynamo Kyiv7+516
4FC Kharkiv7+915
5Karpaty8+914
6Zorya Luhansk8−211
7LNZ Cherkasy8−211
8Veres Rivne9−59
9Kolos Kovalivka7−28
10Bukovyna8−28
11Epitsentr Dunayivtsi8−38
12Livyi Bereh7−17
13Obolon'-Brovar8−87
14Chornomorets7−55
15Kryvbas KR6−35
16Kudrivka8−142

The competition's standings before kick-off.