Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kryvbas KRDrawDynamo Kyiv

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dynamo Kyiv 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dynamo Kyiv are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kryvbas KR 24%, draw 23%, Dynamo Kyiv 53%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Kryvbas KR v Dynamo KyivBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Kryvbas KR win24%

Draw23%

Dynamo Kyiv win53%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueHirnyk Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kryvbas KR

Dynamo Kyiv

13Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 23 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	+5	19
16	Kryvbas KR	7	−6	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dynamo kyiv winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Dynamo Kyiv a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv~~1.27 – 1.99

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 9 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 19~~16 v 4

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kryvbas KR win	24%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Dynamo Kyiv win	53%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Kryvbas KR or draw	47%	–	–
Kryvbas KR clean sheet	14%	–	–
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.7 7.2 7.6 5.0 2.5 1 4.5 10.2 9.4 6.2 3.1 2 3.2 6.1 5.9 3.9 3 2.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kryvbas KR down, Dynamo Kyiv across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,195 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.7% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.88 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kryvbas KR at home: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dynamo Kyiv away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Kryvbas KR, 1.99 for Dynamo Kyiv. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.88

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KRY 5–6 DYN · DYN 4–0 KRY · KRY 0–2 DYN · DYN 2–1 KRY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 9 Aug

KRYVBAS KR

WDLDLL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–3

DYNAMO KYIV

DWWWLW0–0 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Polessya	10	+15	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	+15	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	+11	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	+5	19
5	Karpaty	9	+9	15
6	Zorya Luhansk	10	−1	15
7	LNZ Cherkasy	10	+1	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	−1	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	−4	9
10	Veres Rivne	10	−7	9
11	Livyi Bereh	9	−2	8
12	Bukovyna	9	−5	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	−11	7
14	Chornomorets	8	−6	5
15	Kudrivka	10	−13	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	−6	5