Karpaty v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Karpaty win at 56%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Karpaty 56% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–25–20
3. 2′KICK-OFF Karpaty v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4. 16′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–26–48
5. 16′Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 27–26–48
6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Karpaty 0–1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 27% now
8. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Karpaty win 27%)
9. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
10. 23′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–49
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 22–27–51
12. 36′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–53
13. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Karpaty 1–1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
14. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 47% now
15. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Karpaty win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win 19%)
16. 37′Karpaty level it on 36′ through Rostyslav Lyakh. 1–1. 1–1 · 46–34–19
17. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Rostyslav Lyakh · Karpaty
18. 40′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 18–27–55
19. 40′Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera scores for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on 39′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 18–27–55
20. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Karpaty 1–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
21. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 18% now
22. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Karpaty win 18%)
23. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
24. 45′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 2–2 · 43–38–19
25. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Karpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
26. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 43% now
27. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Karpaty win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win 19%)
28. 45′HALF-TIME Karpaty 1–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
29. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Oleg Bilyk · Off: M. Fedotov
30. 46′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 43–39–18
31. 46′45′: Fellipe Vieira on the scoresheet for Karpaty, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 43–39–18
32. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Karpaty · On: Bruno Iglesias · Off: Rostyslav Lyakh
33. 46′SECOND HALF Karpaty 1–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
34. 53′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–43–18
35. 54′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–27–61
36. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+9' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Karpaty win 39%)
37. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Ivan Bendera · Off: Vadym Sydun
38. 55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+10' Karpaty
39. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+10' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 11% now
40. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+10' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 27%)
41. 60′59′: Bruno Iglesias on the scoresheet for Karpaty, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 35–49–16
42. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Karpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
43. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 35% now
44. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win 16%)
45. 61′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–66
46. 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Karpaty
47. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 9% now
48. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 26%)
49. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Karpaty win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
50. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Daniel Rueda Bodega · Off: Artem Kozak
51. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Karpaty · On: Denys Miroshnichenko · Off: Ivan Calero
52. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Stepan Grygorashchuk · Off: Vladyslav Moroz
53. 72′We said Karpaty at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
54. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Karpaty · On: Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento · Off: Mohamed Aiman Moukhliss Corrected
55. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Karpaty · On: Oleksandr Diedov · Off: Joseph Séry
56. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Karpaty · On: Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento · Off: Mohamed Aiman Moukhliss
57. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Karpaty · On: Yaroslav Karabin · Off: Fellipe Vieira
58. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Andriy Lipovuz · Off: Yevgen Zaporozhets
59. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Serjan·Repaj · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
60. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Daniil Vashchenko · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
61. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Serhii Nagornyak · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
62. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Karpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
63. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win 1%)
64. 95′90′: Xeber Alkain Mitxelena on the scoresheet for Karpaty, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 2–97–1
65. FTFULL TIME Karpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
66. FTKarpaty 2–2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · Karpaty win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.