FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Kharkiv win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Kharkiv 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–31–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh
4. 4′Livyi Bereh find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 23–27–50
5. 4′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–27–50
6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 3' FC Kharkiv 0–1 Livyi Bereh
7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Livyi Bereh win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was FC Kharkiv win 23%)
9. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
10. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 13' O. Kryvoruchko · Livyi Bereh
11. 16′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–53
12. 16′Livyi Bereh ahead on 3′ through Vikentii Voloshyn. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–27–53
13. 17′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–53
14. 30′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 15–28–57
15. 32′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–58
16. 36′Little has changed for our model: FC Kharkiv 50% before kick-off, 40% now. 1–1 · 40–42–17
17. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' FC Kharkiv 1–1 Livyi Bereh
18. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
19. 37′Baton Zabergja scores for FC Kharkiv on 36′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 40–43–17
20. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Livyi Bereh win 17%)
21. 43′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–46–16
22. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Wendell Florencio Brito · Livyi Bereh
23. 45′HALF-TIME FC Kharkiv 1–1 Livyi Bereh
24. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Livyi Bereh · On: Séverin Tatolna · Off: Ilya Kvasnytsya Corrected
25. 59′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–13
26. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 29% now
27. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' O. Sokolov · Livyi Bereh
28. 63′We said FC Kharkiv at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
29. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Artem Chelyadin · Livyi Bereh
30. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' FC Kharkiv 2–1 Livyi Bereh
31. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 88% now
32. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' FC Kharkiv win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
33. 64′63′: Ramik Gadzhiev on the scoresheet for FC Kharkiv, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
34. 65′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–1
35. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Volodymyr Salyuk · FC Kharkiv
36. 70′We said FC Kharkiv at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
37. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
38. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' FC Kharkiv · On: Ermir Rashica · Off: Peter Itodo Corrected
39. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Livyi Bereh · On: Pape Malick Fall · Off: Artem Chelyadin Corrected
40. 82′We said FC Kharkiv at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
41. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FC Kharkiv · On: Igor Kogut · Off: Ramik Gadzhiev
42. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FC Kharkiv · On: Oleksandr Martynyuk · Off: Baton Zabergja
43. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Ivan Kalyuzhny · FC Kharkiv
44. 100′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Livyi Bereh · On: Nicholas Osei Bonsu · Off: Vikentii Voloshyn
45. 100′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Livyi Bereh · On: Dmytro Shastal · Off: Wendell Florencio Brito
46. 100′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Livyi Bereh · On: Evgen Banada · Off: O. Kryvoruchko
47. 124′We said FC Kharkiv at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–1 · 1–98–1
48. 124′SECOND HALF FC Kharkiv 1–1 Livyi Bereh
49. 124′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+34' FC Kharkiv win: 50% at kick-off, 1% now
50. 134′SUBSTITUTION · 54' FC Kharkiv · On: Oleksandr Yatsyk · Off: Carlos Paraco Corrected
51. FTFULL TIME FC Kharkiv 2–1 Livyi Bereh
52. FTFC Kharkiv 2–1 Livyi Bereh · FC Kharkiv win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.