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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
FC KharkivPremier League · SAT 24 OCT · Roman Shukhevych Ternopil city stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Kharkiv win at 46%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: FC Kharkiv was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 26–28–46
- 2′KICK-OFF Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Raúl Tavares Pulido · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Mykola Myronyuk · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Artem Hennadiiovych Smoliakov · FC Kharkiv
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was FC Kharkiv win 39%)
- 45′48′: Ramik Gadzhiev on the scoresheet for FC Kharkiv. 0–0 · 23–42–36
- 45′HALF-TIME Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–0 FC Kharkiv
- 48′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 22–44–34
- 51′SECOND HALF Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–0 FC Kharkiv
- 52′We published FC Kharkiv at 46%. Our model now makes it 79%. 0–1 · 4–17–79
- 52′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 4–17–79
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 48' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–1 FC Kharkiv · Ramik Gadzhiev (assist Baton Zabergja)
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 79% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' FC Kharkiv win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 45%)
- 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 20–48–31 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 55′We published FC Kharkiv at 46%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Vladyslav Moroz · Off: Raúl Tavares Pulido
- 59′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 66′Epitsentr Dunayivtsi level it on 65′ through Artem Kozak. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–58–25
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–1 FC Kharkiv · Artem Kozak (assist Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera)
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 25% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was FC Kharkiv win 83%)
- 67′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 16–59–24
- 74′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 13–68–19
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Peter Itodo · FC Kharkiv
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 79′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 10–76–14
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Kharkiv · On: Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez · Off: Peter Itodo
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Kharkiv · On: Ermir Rashica · Off: Oleksandr Yatsyk
- 84′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 6–86–8
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Ivan Bendera · Off: Igor Kyryukhantsev
- 90′We said FC Kharkiv at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–92–4
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Ivan Bendera · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 92′We published FC Kharkiv at 46%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–2 · 0–2–98
- 92′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–2–98
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 FC Kharkiv
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' FC Kharkiv win: 46% at kick-off, 98% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' FC Kharkiv win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 95%)
- 93′Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez scores for FC Kharkiv on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · On: Kyrylo Kovalets · Off: Vadym Sydun
- 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez · FC Kharkiv
- FTFULL TIME Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 FC Kharkiv
- FTEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 FC Kharkiv · FC Kharkiv win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FC Kharkiv are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 26%, draw 28%, FC Kharkiv 46%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win26%
FC Kharkiv win46%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00
RoundMatchday 10
VenueRoman Shukhevych Ternopil city stadium
Match timeline
All events
Epitsentr DunayivtsiMIN
FC KharkivEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4-1-4-1
FC Kharkiv
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
FC Kharkiv
Last match: 18 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Last match: 19 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4-1-4-1
31 O. Bilyk
70 I. Kyryukhantsev
13 S. Repaj
77 Nil Coch
97 O. Klymets
28 A. Lipovuz
99 Carlos Rojas
14 Raúl Tavares
8 M. Myronyuk
59 A. Kozak
20 V. Sydun
Coach · Sergiy Nagornyak
Substitutes
25 · vitalii horin
71 · N. Fedotov
11 · A. Boyko
17 · Ivan Bendera
3 · S. Grygorashchuk
6 · K. Kovalets
4 · V. Moroz
21 · Nene
22 · A. Vavshko
15 · M. Evpak
FC Kharkiv
4-4-2
1 H. Ermakov
27 I. Krupskyi
13 V. Salyuk
31 A. Shabanov
29 A. Smolyakov
14 R. Gadzhiev
5 I. Kalyuzhnyi
18 Y. Pavlyuk
7 B. Zabërgja
8 O. Yatsyk
98 P. Itodo
Coach · M. Bartulović
Substitutes
9 · D. Antyukh
70 · I. Bagriy
11 · S. Castillo
37 · V. Dubko
25 · I. Kogut
88 · A. Korol
24 · O. Martynyuk
23 · Y. Protsenko
19 · E. Rashica
30 · D. Varakuta
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4-1-4-1
31 O. Bilyk
70 I. Kyryukhantsev
13 S. Repaj
77 Nil Coch
97 O. Klymets
28 A. Lipovuz
99 Carlos Rojas
14 Raúl Tavares
8 M. Myronyuk
59 A. Kozak
20 V. Sydun
Coach · Sergiy Nagornyak
Substitutes
25 · vitalii horin
71 · N. Fedotov
11 · A. Boyko
17 · Ivan Bendera
3 · S. Grygorashchuk
6 · K. Kovalets
4 · V. Moroz
21 · Nene
22 · A. Vavshko
15 · M. Evpak
FC Kharkiv
4-4-2
1 H. Ermakov
27 I. Krupskyi
13 V. Salyuk
31 A. Shabanov
29 A. Smolyakov
14 R. Gadzhiev
5 I. Kalyuzhnyi
18 Y. Pavlyuk
7 B. Zabërgja
8 O. Yatsyk
98 P. Itodo
Coach · M. Bartulović
Substitutes
9 · D. Antyukh
70 · I. Bagriy
11 · S. Castillo
37 · V. Dubko
25 · I. Kogut
88 · A. Korol
24 · O. Martynyuk
23 · Y. Protsenko
19 · E. Rashica
30 · D. Varakuta
We make FC Kharkiv a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win | 26% | 18% | +8 |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | +4 |
| FC Kharkiv win | 46% | 58% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 51% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 50% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 74% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 31% | −8 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw | 54% | 42% | +12 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| FC Kharkiv clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 16 Aug
EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI
FC KHARKIV
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 8 | +10 | 18 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 9 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 9 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | −1 | 11 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 9 | −3 | 9 |
| 10 | Veres Rivne | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 11 | Bukovyna | 9 | −5 | 8 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | −11 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 8 | −6 | 5 |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 10 | −13 | 5 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 7 | −6 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Bukovyna
Livyi Bereh
Obolon'-Brovar
Chornomorets
Kudrivka
Kryvbas KR