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Model 1.2

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Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR

Bukovyna
11:00Upcoming
Kryvbas KR

Premier League · SUN 25 OCT · Bukovyna Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BukovynaDrawKryvbas KR
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Kryvbas KR 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kryvbas KR are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bukovyna 30%, draw 27%, Kryvbas KR 43%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Bukovyna v Kryvbas KRBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bukovyna win30%
Draw27%
Kryvbas KR win43%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueBukovyna Stadium

RefereeKlim Zabroda

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bukovyna

Kryvbas KR

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 18 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Bukovyna9−58
16Kryvbas KR7−65

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kryvbas kr winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off
43% The market22%
Us43%
Market22%

We make Kryvbas KR a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 22%. We are 21 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR1.17 – 1.47
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 9 AugW1 D3 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 8 v 512 v 16
The market · Kryvbas KR win22% · ours 43%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%30%40%50% 18 OCT 01:2325 OCT 02:24
Our probability · Kryvbas KR win The market, margin stripped

Published at 44%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 22% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bukovyna win30%56%−26
Draw27%23%+4
Kryvbas KR win43%22%+21
Over 2.5 goals49%63%−14
Both teams to score53%62%−9
Over 1.5 goals74%81%−7
Over 3.5 goals27%44%−17
Bukovyna or draw57%78%−21
Bukovyna clean sheet24%––
Kryvbas KR clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 8.3 9.8 7.6 3.8 1 7.8 12.7 8.6 4.3 2 5.0 7.0 5.0 2.5 3 2.8 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bukovyna down, Kryvbas KR across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 9 Aug

BUKOVYNA

WDDLDL3–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–4

KRYVBAS KR

WDLDLL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Polessya10+1525
2Shakhtar Donetsk10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty9+915
6Zorya Luhansk10−115
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9−111
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10−49
10Veres Rivne10−79
11Livyi Bereh9−28
12Bukovyna9−58
13Obolon'-Brovar9−117
14Chornomorets8−65
15Kudrivka10−135
16Kryvbas KR7−65

The competition's standings before kick-off.