Polissya II v Kulykiv prediction · Persha Liga

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:31

Polissya II 2–4 Kulykiv KULYKIV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kulykiv win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.451

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kulykiv win at 45%.
1′Much as we predicted: Kulykiv was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
3′2′ and it is 1–0: Polissya II have scored. 1–0 · 55–21–24
5′We said Kulykiv at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 55–22–24
7′Kulykiv find the net on 7′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–24–45
9′Kulykiv find the net on 7′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–25–45
12′Much as we predicted: Kulykiv was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 1–1 · 31–25–44
14′D. Galadey scores for Kulykiv on 12′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 12–18–70
16′15′ and it is 1–3: Kulykiv have scored. 1–3 · 4–8–88
18′We published Kulykiv at 45%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–3 · 4–8–88
19′Kulykiv find the net on 19′. 1–4. 1–4 · 1–3–96
22′We published Kulykiv at 45%. Our model now makes it 97%. 1–4 · 1–3–97
30′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 1–2–97
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 97% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 97% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Kulykiv win: 45% at kick-off, 45% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Polissya II
45′HALF-TIME Polissya II 1–4 Kulykiv
46′SECOND HALF Polissya II 1–4 Kulykiv
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Polissya II 2–4 Kulykiv
FTFULL TIME Polissya II 2–4 Kulykiv
FTPolissya II 2–4 Kulykiv · Kulykiv win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

Polissya II win31%

Draw24%

Kulykiv win45%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 12:00

VenueTsentralnyi Stadion

Line-ups

Polissya II

Kulykiv

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Polissya II

Kulykiv

9Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Kulykiv	10	+9	17
16	Polissya II	10	−6	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Polissya II

Formation not confirmed

77 N. Makarenko

38 Y. Karaman

62 M. Danfakha

53 D. Kondratiuk

94 D. Gryshkevych

88 B. Panchyshyn

99 M. Rasko

72 V. Kramar

25 O. Ivanov

97 M. Gryshchenko

28 B. Makouana

Coach · Oleksandr Maksymov

Substitutes

30 · A. Syomka

12 · A. Drobot

3 · O. Avramenko

26 · O. Kostrytsya

81 · I. Ally

41 · B. Kovalenko

84 · S. Cherchukan

21 · R. Babych

75 · I. Romanchuk

Kulykiv

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Dankovych

18 M. Kashuba

33 O. Nychyporenko

5 N. Turko

10 O. Panasyuk

45 M. Sasovskyi

22 S. Kopyl

17 V. Semotyuk

7 V. Patulyak

11 A. Bey

26 D. Galadey

Coach · Sergey Atlasyuk

Substitutes

32 · G. Klimov

97 · O. Kiktenko

4 · T. Kalynchuk

77 · M. Mudryi

8 · R. Malskyi

23 · D. Volkov

9 · R. Lisovyk

13 · M. Sharabura

Our number · kulykiv winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Kulykiv a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Polissya II win	31%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Kulykiv win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Polissya II or draw	55%	–	–
Polissya II clean sheet	18%	–	–
Kulykiv clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.0 7.2 6.5 3.8 1 5.8 10.6 8.8 5.1 2.3 2 4.3 7.1 6.1 3.6 3 2.0 3.4 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Polissya II down, Kulykiv across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,147 Persha Liga matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Persha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.3% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Polissya II at home: 1.20 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 5). Kulykiv away: 0.75 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Polissya II, 1.76 for Kulykiv. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in Persha Liga since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Persha Liga

POLISSYA II

LDWLLD1–2 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 3–3

KULYKIV

WDWLWL5–1 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	11	+6	21
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	11	+4	20
3	Oleksandria	11	+6	19
4	SK Poltava	11	+8	18
5	Yarud Mariupol'	11	+2	18
6	Kulykiv	10	+9	17
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	11	+2	16
8	Prykarpattia	11	+2	15
9	Metal Kharkiv	11	0	15
10	Nyva Ternopil	11	+2	14
11	Inhulets	10	−2	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	11	−8	12
13	Chernihiv	10	−3	10
14	UCSA	11	−4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	11	−18	8
16	Polissya II	10	−6	7