Nyva Ternopil v Kulykiv prediction · Persha Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nyva TernopilDrawKulykiv

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Kulykiv 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kulykiv are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nyva Ternopil 32%, draw 29%, Kulykiv 39%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Nyva Ternopil v KulykivBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Nyva Ternopil win32%

Draw29%

Kulykiv win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueTernopilsky Misky Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nyva Ternopil

Kulykiv

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Persha Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Kulykiv	12	+11	21
9	Nyva Ternopil	12	+2	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kulykiv winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Kulykiv a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nyva Ternopil v Kulykiv~~1.10 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in Persha Liga this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 21~~9 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nyva Ternopil win	32%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Kulykiv win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Nyva Ternopil or draw	61%	–	–
Nyva Ternopil clean sheet	29%	–	–
Kulykiv clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 10.6 11.3 7.4 3.2 1 9.8 13.4 7.9 3.4 2 5.8 7.0 4.3 3 2.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nyva Ternopil down, Kulykiv across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,160 Persha Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Persha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.5% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Nyva Ternopil at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Kulykiv away: 1.40 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Nyva Ternopil, 1.25 for Kulykiv. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Persha Liga this season · since 12 Sept

NYVA TERNOPIL

LWDDWD1–2 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–0

KULYKIV

WLWLWD5–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	13	+7	25
2	SK Poltava	13	+13	24
3	Yarud Mariupol'	13	+7	24
4	Oleksandria	13	+8	23
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	+5	23
6	Kulykiv	12	+11	21
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	12	+2	17
8	Prykarpattia	13	−2	16
9	Nyva Ternopil	12	+2	15
10	Metal Kharkiv	13	−3	15
11	Inhulets	11	−5	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	12	−8	13
13	UCSA	12	−4	11
14	Chernihiv	11	−4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	13	−20	9
16	Polissya II	13	−9	8