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Metal Kharkiv v Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Metal Kharkiv

2–2Full time

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Persha Liga · FRI 9 OCT · OSC Metalist

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 12:32

Metal Kharkiv 2–2 Viktoriya Mykolaivka METAL KHARKIV WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Metal Kharkiv win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.707

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Metal Kharkiv win36%

Draw31%

Viktoriya Mykolaivka win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 10:00

Venue · OSC Metalist

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Metal Kharkiv

Formation not confirmed

35 P. Pletnyov

2 O. Mizyuk

31 B. Porokh

8 K. Digtyar

14 K. Vlaga

19 D. Kaydalov

20 D. Vernattus

10 M. Bagachanskyi

6 D. Teplyakov

11 O. Tsvirenko

17 D. Prykhodko

Coach · –

Substitutes

43 · G. Polyakov

33 · Y. Sherstyuk

29 · Y. Abramov

21 · D. Zdankov

48 · D. Prymak

38 · G. Igorovych

39 · I. Gryshchenko

27 · Y. Isaenko

46 · M. Kolotay

98 · M. Orikhovskyi

30 · I. Shapovalov

9 · V. Lutsiv

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Formation not confirmed

31 V. Kucheruk

17 A. Dedyaev

45 I. Ilchuk

16 A. Novotryasov

33 D. Ulyanov

6 V. Khamelyuk

18 R. Dedukh

25 S. Sharay

9 O. Chernov

15 D. Kirichenko

70 A. Lyegostayev

Coach · Volodymyr Romanenko

Substitutes

32 · O. Lytvynenko

4 · D. Melnyk

28 · D. Ryabyi

29 · A. Ryabyi

5 · O. Vasyliev

27 · D. Dolinskyi

8 · Y. Dobrokhotov

77 · M. Kharchenko

22 · A. Shpyryonok

11 · O. Lebedenko

1 · N. Yurchenko

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Metal Kharkiv

Formation not confirmed

35 P. Pletnyov

2 O. Mizyuk

31 B. Porokh

8 K. Digtyar

14 K. Vlaga

19 D. Kaydalov

20 D. Vernattus

10 M. Bagachanskyi

6 D. Teplyakov

11 O. Tsvirenko

17 D. Prykhodko

Coach · –

Substitutes

43 · G. Polyakov

33 · Y. Sherstyuk

29 · Y. Abramov

21 · D. Zdankov

48 · D. Prymak

38 · G. Igorovych

39 · I. Gryshchenko

27 · Y. Isaenko

46 · M. Kolotay

98 · M. Orikhovskyi

30 · I. Shapovalov

9 · V. Lutsiv

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

Formation not confirmed

31 V. Kucheruk

17 A. Dedyaev

45 I. Ilchuk

16 A. Novotryasov

33 D. Ulyanov

6 V. Khamelyuk

18 R. Dedukh

25 S. Sharay

9 O. Chernov

15 D. Kirichenko

70 A. Lyegostayev

Coach · Volodymyr Romanenko

Substitutes

32 · O. Lytvynenko

4 · D. Melnyk

28 · D. Ryabyi

29 · A. Ryabyi

5 · O. Vasyliev

27 · D. Dolinskyi

8 · Y. Dobrokhotov

77 · M. Kharchenko

22 · A. Shpyryonok

11 · O. Lebedenko

1 · N. Yurchenko

Our number · metal kharkiv winPublished 9 Oct 10:02

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Metal Kharkiv a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Metal Kharkiv win	36%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Viktoriya Mykolaivka win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Metal Kharkiv or draw	67%	–	–
Metal Kharkiv clean sheet	37%	–	–
Viktoriya Mykolaivka clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%

0123450 13.7 12.1 6.4 2.2 1 12.8 13.8 6.6 2.3 2 7.1 7.0 3.5 3 2.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Metal Kharkiv down, Viktoriya Mykolaivka across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,140 Persha Liga matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Persha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.6% of games this season, across 79 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Metal Kharkiv at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Viktoriya Mykolaivka away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Metal Kharkiv, 1.01 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MET 2–1 VIK · VIK 1–0 MET

Form · last six in Persha Liga

METAL KHARKIV

DWLLWD1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 0–0

VIKTORIYA MYKOLAIVKA

WDLLDW3–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	10	+6	20
2	Oleksandria	10	+8	19
3	SK Poltava	10	+9	18
4	Kulykiv	10	+9	17
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	10	+3	17
6	Prykarpattia	10	+3	15
7	Yarud Mariupol'	10	+1	15
8	Metal Kharkiv	10	0	14
9	Inhulets	9	−1	14
10	Lokomotiv Kyiv	10	0	13
11	Kolos Kovalivka II	10	−6	12
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	0	11
13	UCSA	10	−3	10
14	Chernihiv	9	−4	7
15	Polissya II	10	−6	7
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	−19	5