Kulykiv v Oleksandria

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kulykiv win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kulykiv was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kulykiv v Oleksandria
4. 27′Oleksandria find the net on 27′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–24–58
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Kulykiv 0–1 Oleksandria
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Kulykiv win: 47% at kick-off, 18% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Oleksandria win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Kulykiv win 18%)
8. 28′We said Kulykiv at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–24–58
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 17–24–58
10. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Kulykiv win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
11. 32′Oleksandria ahead on 26′ through R. Kuzmyn. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–24–59
12. 40′We said Kulykiv at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
13. 45′HALF-TIME Kulykiv 0–1 Oleksandria
14. 46′SECOND HALF Kulykiv 0–1 Oleksandria
15. 55′We said Kulykiv at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Kulykiv win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
17. 70′We said Kulykiv at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
18. 79′A goal for Kulykiv on 79′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 16–73–11
19. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Kulykiv 1–1 Oleksandria
20. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Kulykiv win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
21. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Oleksandria win 11%)
22. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Kulykiv win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
23. FTFULL TIME Kulykiv 1–1 Oleksandria
24. FTKulykiv 1–1 Oleksandria · Kulykiv win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.