Home › Football › Druha Liga › Podillya Khmelnytskyi v Bratslav Vinnytsia

Podillya Khmelnytskyi v Bratslav Vinnytsia

Podillya Khmelnytskyi

1–5Full time

Bratslav Vinnytsia

Druha Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Sport Complex Podillia

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:46

Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia BRATSLAV VINNYTSIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bratslav Vinnytsia win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.405

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bratslav Vinnytsia win at 48%.
1′Much as we predicted: Bratslav Vinnytsia was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 29–22–49
1′KICK-OFF Podillya Khmelnytskyi v Bratslav Vinnytsia
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–1 Bratslav Vinnytsia
12′A. Bandurin scores for Bratslav Vinnytsia on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–17–71
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Bratslav Vinnytsia win: 48% at kick-off, 71% now
20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–2 Bratslav Vinnytsia
23′19′ and it is 0–2: Bratslav Vinnytsia have scored. 0–2 · 3–8–89
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bratslav Vinnytsia win: 48% at kick-off, 89% now
38′We published Bratslav Vinnytsia at 48%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
45′HALF-TIME Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–2 Bratslav Vinnytsia
46′SECOND HALF Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–2 Bratslav Vinnytsia
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–3 Bratslav Vinnytsia
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–3 Bratslav Vinnytsia
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–4 Bratslav Vinnytsia
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia
FTFULL TIME Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia
FTPodillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia · Bratslav Vinnytsia win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Podillya Khmelnytskyi win30%

Draw22%

Bratslav Vinnytsia win48%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 11:00

Venue · Sport Complex Podillia

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bratslav vinnytsia winPublished 10 Oct 11:13

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Bratslav Vinnytsia a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podillya Khmelnytskyi win	30%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Bratslav Vinnytsia win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Podillya Khmelnytskyi or draw	52%	–	–
Podillya Khmelnytskyi clean sheet	16%	–	–
Bratslav Vinnytsia clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.2 6.9 6.4 4.1 2.0 1 5.3 9.6 8.6 5.4 2.7 2 3.8 6.7 6.0 3.8 3 3.3 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Podillya Khmelnytskyi down, Bratslav Vinnytsia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 982 Druha Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Druha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podillya Khmelnytskyi at home: 1.50 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). Bratslav Vinnytsia away: 2.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Podillya Khmelnytskyi, 1.92 for Bratslav Vinnytsia. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BRA 3–2 POD

Form · last six in Druha Liga

PODILLYA KHMELNYTSKYI

DLWWWL1–1 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–2

BRATSLAV VINNYTSIA

WDWDWW4–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	8	+13	20
2	Nyva Vinnytsya	8	+6	15
3	Karbon Cherkasy	8	+4	15
4	Dnister Zalishchyky	8	+3	14
5	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	8	+1	13
6	Lozova	8	0	13
7	Atlet	8	+4	12
8	Vilkhivtsi	9	−2	12
9	Rebel	8	0	11
10	SC Poltava 2	9	−2	11
11	Trostianets	7	+3	10
12	Oleksandria II	8	+1	10
13	Nyva Ternopil II	9	−7	10
14	Metalurh Zaporizhya	8	−1	9
15	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	−5	8
16	Dinaz Vyshhorod	8	−6	7
17	Penuel	8	−9	5
18	Ruh Lviv	8	−3	3