Home › Football › Druha Liga › Nyva Vinnytsya v Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Back

Nyva Vinnytsya v Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Nyva Vinnytsya
Podillya KhmelnytskyiDruha Liga · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Nyva Vinnytsya win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Nyva Vinnytsya 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Nyva Vinnytsya v Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 17′A goal for Nyva Vinnytsya on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 17′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Nyva Vinnytsya 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 76–16–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Nyva Vinnytsya 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 46′SECOND HALF Nyva Vinnytsya 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 55′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 56′Podillya Khmelnytskyi score on 55′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–43–20
- 56′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–43–20
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Nyva Vinnytsya 1–1 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 37% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Nyva Vinnytsya win 37%)
- 61′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–19
- 62′57′: M. Perekhodko on the scoresheet for Podillya Khmelnytskyi, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 33–48–19
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 68′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
- 74′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–14
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 22% now
- 78′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
- 78′Nyva Vinnytsya find the net on 78′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 78′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Nyva Vinnytsya 2–1 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 89% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Nyva Vinnytsya win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
- 80′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Nyva Vinnytsya win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
- 87′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 88′Nyva Vinnytsya ahead on 72′ through N. Popov. 2–1. 2–1 · 95–4–0
- 94′Nyva Vinnytsya ahead on 72′ through N. Popov. 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- 94′We said Nyva Vinnytsya at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- 95′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- FTFULL TIME Nyva Vinnytsya 2–1 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
- FTNyva Vinnytsya 2–1 Podillya Khmelnytskyi · Nyva Vinnytsya win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNyva Vinnytsya are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nyva Vinnytsya 53%, draw 23%, Podillya Khmelnytskyi 24%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Nyva Vinnytsya win53%
Podillya Khmelnytskyi win24%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 11
Match timeline
All events
Nyva VinnytsyaMIN
Podillya KhmelnytskyiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nyva Vinnytsya
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Last match: 11 Oct · Druha Liga
Last match: 10 Oct · Druha Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Nyva Vinnytsya a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Vinnytsya win | 53% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi win | 24% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | – | – |
| Nyva Vinnytsya or draw | 76% | – | – |
| Nyva Vinnytsya clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Druha Liga this season · since 29 Aug
NYVA VINNYTSYA
PODILLYA KHMELNYTSKYI
The table
2026/27 · group 1| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 9 | +4 | 17 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | −3 | 13 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 9 | −7 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | −5 | 8 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 9 | −3 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bratslav Vinnytsia
Dnister Zalishchyky
Vilkhivtsi
Nyva Ternopil II
Skala 1911 Stryi
Dinaz Vyshhorod
Ruh Lviv