Dnister Zalishchyky v Nyva Ternopil II prediction · Druha Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Dnister Zalishchyky 1–1 Nyva Ternopil II DNISTER ZALISHCHYKY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dnister Zalishchyky win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.017

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dnister Zalishchyky are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dnister Zalishchyky 61%, draw 21%, Nyva Ternopil II 18%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Dnister Zalishchyky v Nyva Ternopil IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dnister Zalishchyky win61%

Draw21%

Nyva Ternopil II win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dnister Zalishchyky

Nyva Ternopil II

6Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Druha Liga

Last match: 9 Oct · Druha Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	9	+4	17
6	Nyva Ternopil II	9	−7	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dnister zalishchyky winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Dnister Zalishchyky a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dnister Zalishchyky v Nyva Ternopil II~~1.99 – 0.94

~~Form · last six in Druha Liga this season · since 28 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 17 v 10~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dnister Zalishchyky win

Published at 62%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dnister Zalishchyky win	61%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Nyva Ternopil II win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Dnister Zalishchyky or draw	82%	–	–
Dnister Zalishchyky clean sheet	40%	–	–
Nyva Ternopil II clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.8%

0123450 6.1 5.4 2.6 1 10.8 9.9 4.7 2 10.3 9.2 4.4 3 6.8 6.0 2.8 4 3.6 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dnister Zalishchyky down, Nyva Ternopil II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 987 Druha Liga matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Druha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.1% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026/27 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dnister Zalishchyky at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). Nyva Ternopil II away: 0.83 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Dnister Zalishchyky, 0.94 for Nyva Ternopil II. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~NYV 1–0 DNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Druha Liga this season · since 28 Aug

DNISTER ZALISHCHYKY

WWWDLW2–1 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 1–0

NYVA TERNOPIL II

LLWLLD0–1 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	9	+17	23
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	9	+4	17
3	Nyva Vinnytsya	9	+6	16
4	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	9	−3	13
5	Vilkhivtsi	9	−2	12
6	Nyva Ternopil II	9	−7	10
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	−5	8
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	9	−7	7
9	Ruh Lviv	9	−3	4