Dinaz Vyshhorod v Skala 1911 Stryi prediction · Druha Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Dinaz Vyshhorod 1–4 Skala 1911 Stryi SKALA 1911 STRYI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Skala 1911 Stryi win~~50%

~~The market said~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.380

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.625

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Skala 1911 Stryi are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinaz Vyshhorod 28%, draw 22%, Skala 1911 Stryi 50%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Dinaz Vyshhorod v Skala 1911 StryiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dinaz Vyshhorod win28%

Draw22%

Skala 1911 Stryi win50%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:15

RoundMatchday 11

VenueDinaz Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinaz Vyshhorod

Skala 1911 Stryi

6Days since last match14

Last match: 11 Oct · Druha Liga

Last match: 3 Oct · Druha Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	−5	8
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	9	−7	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · skala 1911 stryi winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:50 · locked at kick-off

50% The market36%

Us50%

~~Market~~36%

We make Skala 1911 Stryi a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinaz Vyshhorod v Skala 1911 Stryi~~1.35 – 1.88

~~Form · last six in Druha Liga this season · since 28 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 8~~8 v 7

~~The market · Skala 1911 Stryi win~~36% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Skala 1911 Stryi win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinaz Vyshhorod win	28%	40%	−12
Draw	22%	24%	−2
Skala 1911 Stryi win	50%	36%	+14
Over 2.5 goals	62%	62%	0
Both teams to score	61%	64%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	39%	+1
Dinaz Vyshhorod or draw	50%	64%	−14
Dinaz Vyshhorod clean sheet	16%	–	–
Skala 1911 Stryi clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.5 7.6 7.0 4.4 2.2 1 5.5 9.8 8.9 5.6 2.8 2 3.7 6.4 5.9 3.7 3 3.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinaz Vyshhorod down, Skala 1911 Stryi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 987 Druha Liga matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Druha Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.1% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinaz Vyshhorod at home: 1.83 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Skala 1911 Stryi away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Dinaz Vyshhorod, 1.88 for Skala 1911 Stryi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SKA 2–2 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Druha Liga this season · since 28 Aug

DINAZ VYSHHOROD

DDLLWL1–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

SKALA 1911 STRYI

WWLLLD1–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27 · group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	9	+17	23
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	9	+4	17
3	Nyva Vinnytsya	9	+6	16
4	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	9	−3	13
5	Vilkhivtsi	9	−2	12
6	Nyva Ternopil II	9	−7	10
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	8	−5	8
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	9	−7	7
9	Ruh Lviv	9	−3	4