Zorya Luhansk v Kryvbas KR
Zorya LuhanskKryvbas KRCup · THU 29 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Zorya Luhansk are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Zorya Luhansk 41%, draw 26%, Kryvbas KR 33%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Zorya Luhansk win41%Kryvbas KR win33%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 11:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Zorya LuhanskMINKryvbas KREvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
Last match: 24 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Last match: 18 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Zorya Luhansk a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk win | 41% | 47% | −6 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Kryvbas KR win | 33% | 28% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Zorya Luhansk or draw | 67% | 72% | −5 |
| Zorya Luhansk clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Kryvbas KR clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 22 Aug
ZORYA LUHANSK
KRYVBAS KR