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Model 1.2

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LNZ Cherkasy v Metal Kharkiv

LNZ Cherkasy
13:00Upcoming
Metal Kharkiv

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LNZ CherkasyDrawMetal Kharkiv
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · LNZ Cherkasy 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: LNZ Cherkasy 67%, draw 25%, Metal Kharkiv 9%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 26%.

The AI’s read on LNZ Cherkasy v Metal KharkivBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy win67%
Draw25%
Metal Kharkiv win9%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

LNZ Cherkasy

Metal Kharkiv

4Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 23 Oct · Persha Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lnz cherkasy winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
67% The market–
Us67%

We make LNZ Cherkasy a 67% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.4, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 22%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · LNZ Cherkasy v Metal Kharkiv1.56 – 0.39
Form · Cup this season · since 23 AugW0 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 22 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:53
Our probability · LNZ Cherkasy win

Published at 66%, 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
LNZ Cherkasy win67%––
Draw25%––
Metal Kharkiv win9%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score26%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
LNZ Cherkasy or draw91%––
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet68%––
Metal Kharkiv clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 22.0%
0123450 14.5 5.2 1 22.0 8.9 2 17.4 6.7 3 9.1 3.5 4 3.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+LNZ Cherkasy down, Metal Kharkiv across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsMET 0–2 LNZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 23 Aug

LNZ CHERKASY

D0–0

METAL KHARKIV

WW1–0 · 1–0