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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Livyi Bereh v Veres Rivne

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Livyi Bereh v Veres Rivne

Livyi Bereh
11:00Upcoming
Veres Rivne

Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Arena Livyi Bereg

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Livyi BerehDrawVeres Rivne
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Livyi Bereh 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Livyi Bereh are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Livyi Bereh 42%, draw 32%, Veres Rivne 26%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Livyi Bereh v Veres RivneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Livyi Bereh win42%
Draw32%
Veres Rivne win26%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 11:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueArena Livyi Bereg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Livyi Bereh

Veres Rivne

3Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

Last match: 23 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · livyi bereh winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
42% The market36%
Us42%
Market36%

We make Livyi Bereh a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Livyi Bereh v Veres Rivne1.12 – 0.81
Form · Cup this season · since 22 AugW1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0
The market · Livyi Bereh win36% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Livyi Bereh win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Livyi Bereh win42%36%+6
Draw32%30%+2
Veres Rivne win26%34%−8
Over 2.5 goals30%42%−12
Both teams to score38%49%−11
Over 1.5 goals58%68%−10
Over 3.5 goals13%23%−10
Livyi Bereh or draw74%66%+8
Livyi Bereh clean sheet45%––
Veres Rivne clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.9%
0123450 15.0 11.3 4.8 1 15.9 13.6 5.3 2 9.1 7.4 3.0 3 3.4 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Livyi Bereh down, Veres Rivne across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsLIV 2–0 VER · VER 1–3 LIV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 22 Aug

LIVYI BEREH

WD3–0 · 1–1

VERES RIVNE

WW4–1 · 1–0