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Model 1.2

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Chernihiv v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Chernihiv
13:00Upcoming
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Cup · WED 28 OCT · Chernihiv Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ChernihivDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chernihiv 21%, draw 25%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 54%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Chernihiv v Epitsentr DunayivtsiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Chernihiv win21%
Draw25%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win54%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueChernihiv Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chernihiv

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

11Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Persha Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · the Ukrainian Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · epitsentr dunayivtsi winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 54% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chernihiv v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0.91 – 1.63
Form · Cup this season · since 22 AugW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chernihiv win21%––
Draw25%––
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win54%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Chernihiv or draw46%––
Chernihiv clean sheet20%––
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.4%
0123450 8.3 12.4 10.5 5.7 2.3 1 6.8 12.1 9.5 5.2 2.1 2 3.3 5.3 4.3 2.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chernihiv down, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsCHE 3–2 EPI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 22 Aug

CHERNIHIV

WW2–1 · 4–2

EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI

WW2–1 · 3–0